Recent Met Office guidance points to an 18°C overnight minimum for London on July 6 amid building high pressure and a warming trend, with daytime highs reaching 32°C under sunny spells. This aligns with the market's leading 47% implied probability for exactly 18°C, as models show limited cooling overnight due to urban heat retention and light winds. Historical July lows average 13–15°C, but current conditions—driven by subtropical air advection—favor values near 18°C over cooler outcomes like 15°C (34%). Minor model spread around 16–20°C keeps those probabilities clustered near 33–34%, while extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 6. Juli?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 6. Juli?
19°C 100.0%
14°C oder weniger <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$36,462 Vol.
$36,462 Vol.
6. Juli 2026
14°C oder weniger
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Ja
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
19°C 100.0%
14°C oder weniger <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$36,462 Vol.
$36,462 Vol.
6. Juli 2026
14°C oder weniger
$2,444 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$2,556 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$1,056 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$2,152 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$3,873 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$12,673 Vol.
Ja
20°C
$2,501 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$1,798 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$3,263 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$1,748 Vol.
Nein
24°C oder höher
$2,397 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to an 18°C overnight minimum for London on July 6 amid building high pressure and a warming trend, with daytime highs reaching 32°C under sunny spells. This aligns with the market's leading 47% implied probability for exactly 18°C, as models show limited cooling overnight due to urban heat retention and light winds. Historical July lows average 13–15°C, but current conditions—driven by subtropical air advection—favor values near 18°C over cooler outcomes like 15°C (34%). Minor model spread around 16–20°C keeps those probabilities clustered near 33–34%, while extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$36,462Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to an 18°C overnight minimum for London on July 6 amid building high pressure and a warming trend, with daytime highs reaching 32°C under sunny spells. This aligns with the market's leading 47% implied probability for exactly 18°C, as models show limited cooling overnight due to urban heat retention and light winds. Historical July lows average 13–15°C, but current conditions—driven by subtropical air advection—favor values near 18°C over cooler outcomes like 15°C (34%). Minor model spread around 16–20°C keeps those probabilities clustered near 33–34%, while extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$36,462Enddatum
6. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent Met Office guidance points to an 18°C overnight minimum for London on July 6 amid building high pressure and a warming trend, with daytime highs reaching 32°C under sunny spells. This aligns with the market's leading 47% implied probability for exactly 18°C, as models show limited cooling overnight due to urban heat retention and light winds. Historical July lows average 13–15°C, but current conditions—driven by subtropical air advection—favor values near 18°C over cooler outcomes like 15°C (34%). Minor model spread around 16–20°C keeps those probabilities clustered near 33–34%, while extremes remain discounted absent major forecast shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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