Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and major models points to a minimum near 71°F for Los Angeles on August 24, supporting the market's leading 70-71°F bucket at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and a stable marine layer are expected to limit overnight cooling, with dew points in the low-to-mid 60s and light west-southwest winds preventing significant radiational cooling typical of clearer, drier conditions. Recent days have featured similar mild lows around 67-70°F amid above-normal heat, aligning with late-August climatology where coastal stations average 65-68°F but urban heat islands and weak gradients often push readings higher. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any low-cloud development or minor model shifts in boundary-layer moisture, which could differentiate outcomes between the closely matched 68-69°F and 70-71°F ranges versus warmer scenarios.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 24. August?
68-69°F 39%
70-71°F 37%
76-77°F 36%
61°F oder darunter 26%
61°F oder darunter
26%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
2%
80°F oder höher
16%
68-69°F 39%
70-71°F 37%
76-77°F 36%
61°F oder darunter 26%
61°F oder darunter
26%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
2%
80°F oder höher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and major models points to a minimum near 71°F for Los Angeles on August 24, supporting the market's leading 70-71°F bucket at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and a stable marine layer are expected to limit overnight cooling, with dew points in the low-to-mid 60s and light west-southwest winds preventing significant radiational cooling typical of clearer, drier conditions. Recent days have featured similar mild lows around 67-70°F amid above-normal heat, aligning with late-August climatology where coastal stations average 65-68°F but urban heat islands and weak gradients often push readings higher. Key uncertainties include exact timing of any low-cloud development or minor model shifts in boundary-layer moisture, which could differentiate outcomes between the closely matched 68-69°F and 70-71°F ranges versus warmer scenarios.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen