**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on September 23 remains nearly even between sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes due to short-term uncertainty in southwest monsoon-driven conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from the monsoon are expected to moderate extremes, with official forecasts from PAGASA and models pointing to overnight lows near 24–26°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and rain chances exceeding 60–80%. Radiational cooling under any clearer intervals could push minima lower, while sustained moisture and weak winds may limit drops or sustain warmer readings. Historical September averages hover around 25–26°C, providing context for why current model consensus supports near-normal values yet leaves room for forecast shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 23. September?
21°C oder darunter 98%
31°C oder höher 97%
24°C 40%
22°C 39%
21°C oder darunter
98%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C oder höher
97%
21°C oder darunter 98%
31°C oder höher 97%
24°C 40%
22°C 39%
21°C oder darunter
98%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C oder höher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila's lowest temperature on September 23 remains nearly even between sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes due to short-term uncertainty in southwest monsoon-driven conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity from the monsoon are expected to moderate extremes, with official forecasts from PAGASA and models pointing to overnight lows near 24–26°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and rain chances exceeding 60–80%. Radiational cooling under any clearer intervals could push minima lower, while sustained moisture and weak winds may limit drops or sustain warmer readings. Historical September averages hover around 25–26°C, providing context for why current model consensus supports near-normal values yet leaves room for forecast shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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