Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to an overnight low in Moscow on August 22 near 11–12 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds will determine how far temperatures drop after sunset, while higher humidity and urban heat-island effects in the city center limit further decline. Historical late-August climatology shows average minima near 13 °C, so any clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow could push readings toward the 9–10 °C range or hold them above 13 °C. The final Roshydromet and ECMWF updates overnight will resolve remaining model spread before the minimum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 22. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 22. August?
11°C 42%
14°C 39%
12°C 37%
13°C 36%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
6°C or below
32%
7°C
28%
8°C
34%
9°C
35%
10°C
30%
11°C
42%
12°C
37%
13°C
36%
14°C
39%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
35%
11°C 42%
14°C 39%
12°C 37%
13°C 36%
NEU
NEU
22. Aug. 2026
6°C or below
$58 Vol.
32%
7°C
$15 Vol.
28%
8°C
$10 Vol.
34%
9°C
$10 Vol.
35%
10°C
$11 Vol.
30%
11°C
$11 Vol.
42%
12°C
$20 Vol.
37%
13°C
$10 Vol.
36%
14°C
$10 Vol.
39%
15°C
$10 Vol.
5%
16°C or higher
$15 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to an overnight low in Moscow on August 22 near 11–12 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds will determine how far temperatures drop after sunset, while higher humidity and urban heat-island effects in the city center limit further decline. Historical late-August climatology shows average minima near 13 °C, so any clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow could push readings toward the 9–10 °C range or hold them above 13 °C. The final Roshydromet and ECMWF updates overnight will resolve remaining model spread before the minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volumen
$180Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to an overnight low in Moscow on August 22 near 11–12 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds will determine how far temperatures drop after sunset, while higher humidity and urban heat-island effects in the city center limit further decline. Historical late-August climatology shows average minima near 13 °C, so any clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow could push readings toward the 9–10 °C range or hold them above 13 °C. The final Roshydromet and ECMWF updates overnight will resolve remaining model spread before the minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$180Enddatum
22. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models point to an overnight low in Moscow on August 22 near 11–12 °C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds will determine how far temperatures drop after sunset, while higher humidity and urban heat-island effects in the city center limit further decline. Historical late-August climatology shows average minima near 13 °C, so any clear-sky window or stronger northerly flow could push readings toward the 9–10 °C range or hold them above 13 °C. The final Roshydromet and ECMWF updates overnight will resolve remaining model spread before the minimum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen