Incoming Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover are the dominant short-term drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 9–14 °C for Moscow’s overnight minimum on 21 August. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Roshydromet show modest advection of cooler maritime air combined with variable nocturnal cloudiness that limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow range of expected lows near the late-August climatological average of 12–14 °C. Clear-sky scenarios would allow stronger surface heat loss and push readings toward or below 9 °C, while increased low-level moisture or wind mixing would hold minima near 13–14 °C. With probabilities tightly bunched, any updated 00–12 UTC model runs or observed dew-point trends before resolution will likely shift the tight 33–39 % bands among these outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 21. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 21. August?
9°C or below 37%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
37%
10°C
34%
11°C
33%
12°C
34%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
34%
16°C
31%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 37%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
$82 Vol.
37%
10°C
$39 Vol.
34%
11°C
$27 Vol.
33%
12°C
$0 Vol.
34%
13°C
$0 Vol.
34%
14°C
$0 Vol.
34%
15°C
$16 Vol.
34%
16°C
$5,329 Vol.
31%
17°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$68 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover are the dominant short-term drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 9–14 °C for Moscow’s overnight minimum on 21 August. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Roshydromet show modest advection of cooler maritime air combined with variable nocturnal cloudiness that limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow range of expected lows near the late-August climatological average of 12–14 °C. Clear-sky scenarios would allow stronger surface heat loss and push readings toward or below 9 °C, while increased low-level moisture or wind mixing would hold minima near 13–14 °C. With probabilities tightly bunched, any updated 00–12 UTC model runs or observed dew-point trends before resolution will likely shift the tight 33–39 % bands among these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$5,781Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover are the dominant short-term drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 9–14 °C for Moscow’s overnight minimum on 21 August. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Roshydromet show modest advection of cooler maritime air combined with variable nocturnal cloudiness that limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow range of expected lows near the late-August climatological average of 12–14 °C. Clear-sky scenarios would allow stronger surface heat loss and push readings toward or below 9 °C, while increased low-level moisture or wind mixing would hold minima near 13–14 °C. With probabilities tightly bunched, any updated 00–12 UTC model runs or observed dew-point trends before resolution will likely shift the tight 33–39 % bands among these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,781Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incoming Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover are the dominant short-term drivers keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 9–14 °C for Moscow’s overnight minimum on 21 August. Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Roshydromet show modest advection of cooler maritime air combined with variable nocturnal cloudiness that limits radiative cooling, producing a narrow range of expected lows near the late-August climatological average of 12–14 °C. Clear-sky scenarios would allow stronger surface heat loss and push readings toward or below 9 °C, while increased low-level moisture or wind mixing would hold minima near 13–14 °C. With probabilities tightly bunched, any updated 00–12 UTC model runs or observed dew-point trends before resolution will likely shift the tight 33–39 % bands among these outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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