A cold front approaching São Paulo on August 21, 2026, is the main driver of market-implied odds clustered around 11–15 °C for the daily minimum. Official forecasts from Brazilian agencies highlight increased cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and southeasterly winds strengthening overnight, all of which modulate radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions create genuine uncertainty between modest advection of cooler maritime air versus localized urban heat retention, producing closely matched probabilities for 11 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C outcomes. Model runs differ on exact wind timing and precipitation intensity, key variables that will determine whether the low settles near 10–12 °C or remains closer to 15–16 °C before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 21. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 21. August?
13°C 36%
14°C 36%
11°C 35%
12°C 35%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
34%
11°C
35%
12°C
35%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
35%
16°C
34%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 36%
14°C 36%
11°C 35%
12°C 35%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
$153 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
34%
11°C
$0 Vol.
35%
12°C
$28 Vol.
35%
13°C
$42 Vol.
36%
14°C
$0 Vol.
36%
15°C
$0 Vol.
35%
16°C
$0 Vol.
34%
17°C
$161 Vol.
1%
18°C
$34 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$174 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front approaching São Paulo on August 21, 2026, is the main driver of market-implied odds clustered around 11–15 °C for the daily minimum. Official forecasts from Brazilian agencies highlight increased cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and southeasterly winds strengthening overnight, all of which modulate radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions create genuine uncertainty between modest advection of cooler maritime air versus localized urban heat retention, producing closely matched probabilities for 11 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C outcomes. Model runs differ on exact wind timing and precipitation intensity, key variables that will determine whether the low settles near 10–12 °C or remains closer to 15–16 °C before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volumen
$591Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front approaching São Paulo on August 21, 2026, is the main driver of market-implied odds clustered around 11–15 °C for the daily minimum. Official forecasts from Brazilian agencies highlight increased cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and southeasterly winds strengthening overnight, all of which modulate radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions create genuine uncertainty between modest advection of cooler maritime air versus localized urban heat retention, producing closely matched probabilities for 11 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C outcomes. Model runs differ on exact wind timing and precipitation intensity, key variables that will determine whether the low settles near 10–12 °C or remains closer to 15–16 °C before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$591Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front approaching São Paulo on August 21, 2026, is the main driver of market-implied odds clustered around 11–15 °C for the daily minimum. Official forecasts from Brazilian agencies highlight increased cloud cover, possible afternoon showers, and southeasterly winds strengthening overnight, all of which modulate radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. These conditions create genuine uncertainty between modest advection of cooler maritime air versus localized urban heat retention, producing closely matched probabilities for 11 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C outcomes. Model runs differ on exact wind timing and precipitation intensity, key variables that will determine whether the low settles near 10–12 °C or remains closer to 15–16 °C before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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