Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 29. April?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 29. April?
9°C 100.0%
4°C oder darunter <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$19,337 Vol.
$19,337 Vol.
29. Apr. 2026
4°C oder darunter
Nein
5°C
Nein
6°C
Nein
7°C
Nein
8°C
Nein
9°C
Ja
10°C
Nein
11°C
Nein
12°C
Nein
13°C
Nein
14°C oder höher
Nein
9°C 100.0%
4°C oder darunter <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$19,337 Vol.
$19,337 Vol.
29. Apr. 2026
4°C oder darunter
$527 Vol.
Nein
5°C
$384 Vol.
Nein
6°C
$548 Vol.
Nein
7°C
$3,185 Vol.
Nein
8°C
$3,977 Vol.
Nein
9°C
$4,768 Vol.
Ja
10°C
$2,178 Vol.
Nein
11°C
$200 Vol.
Nein
12°C
$1,291 Vol.
Nein
13°C
$1,022 Vol.
Nein
14°C oder höher
$1,256 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$19,337Enddatum
29. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,337Enddatum
29. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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