Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Shanghai’s overnight low for August 23 near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 51.5 % for 27 °C and 33 % for 28 °C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, combined with elevated sea-surface temperatures in the East China Sea, has maintained warm, humid air masses over the region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms expected through the period may further moderate temperature drops by enhancing cloud cover and moisture. Historical climatology for late August shows average lows around 26 °C, with recent model consensus showing little deviation from this baseline. No significant cold-air intrusion or typhoon influence appears in current guidance, keeping lower outcomes (≤26 °C) at low probability while capping upside risk above 29 °C. Updated National Meteorological Center and global ensemble runs ahead of the 23rd will provide the next key data points for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 23. August?
27°C 52%
28°C 33%
25°C 6%
26°C 6%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C
6%
27°C
52%
28°C
33%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 33%
25°C 6%
26°C 6%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
5%
24°C
$96 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$0 Vol.
6%
27°C
$12 Vol.
52%
28°C
$112 Vol.
33%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$20 Vol.
1%
31°C
$9 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$48 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Shanghai’s overnight low for August 23 near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 51.5 % for 27 °C and 33 % for 28 °C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, combined with elevated sea-surface temperatures in the East China Sea, has maintained warm, humid air masses over the region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms expected through the period may further moderate temperature drops by enhancing cloud cover and moisture. Historical climatology for late August shows average lows around 26 °C, with recent model consensus showing little deviation from this baseline. No significant cold-air intrusion or typhoon influence appears in current guidance, keeping lower outcomes (≤26 °C) at low probability while capping upside risk above 29 °C. Updated National Meteorological Center and global ensemble runs ahead of the 23rd will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$318Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Shanghai’s overnight low for August 23 near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 51.5 % for 27 °C and 33 % for 28 °C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, combined with elevated sea-surface temperatures in the East China Sea, has maintained warm, humid air masses over the region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms expected through the period may further moderate temperature drops by enhancing cloud cover and moisture. Historical climatology for late August shows average lows around 26 °C, with recent model consensus showing little deviation from this baseline. No significant cold-air intrusion or typhoon influence appears in current guidance, keeping lower outcomes (≤26 °C) at low probability while capping upside risk above 29 °C. Updated National Meteorological Center and global ensemble runs ahead of the 23rd will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$318Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models place Shanghai’s overnight low for August 23 near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 51.5 % for 27 °C and 33 % for 28 °C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, combined with elevated sea-surface temperatures in the East China Sea, has maintained warm, humid air masses over the region, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms expected through the period may further moderate temperature drops by enhancing cloud cover and moisture. Historical climatology for late August shows average lows around 26 °C, with recent model consensus showing little deviation from this baseline. No significant cold-air intrusion or typhoon influence appears in current guidance, keeping lower outcomes (≤26 °C) at low probability while capping upside risk above 29 °C. Updated National Meteorological Center and global ensemble runs ahead of the 23rd will provide the next key data points for traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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