Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 26 indicate a low near 24°C amid scattered showers and light winds from the northwest, consistent with regional model consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles. This aligns with typical late-September climatology featuring moderating monsoon influences and modest diurnal ranges, though slight model spread in precipitation timing could shift overnight minima by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment remains balanced between the 19°C-or-below and 29°C-or-higher bins at nearly 50% each, reflecting uncertainty over potential cold-air intrusions versus lingering warmth, while specific temperatures around 24–26°C trade at lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 26. September?
19°C oder darunter 47%
29°C oder höher 47%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
19°C oder darunter
47%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
20%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
19%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C oder höher
47%
19°C oder darunter 47%
29°C oder höher 47%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
19°C oder darunter
47%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
20%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
19%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C oder höher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 26 indicate a low near 24°C amid scattered showers and light winds from the northwest, consistent with regional model consensus from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles. This aligns with typical late-September climatology featuring moderating monsoon influences and modest diurnal ranges, though slight model spread in precipitation timing could shift overnight minima by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment remains balanced between the 19°C-or-below and 29°C-or-higher bins at nearly 50% each, reflecting uncertainty over potential cold-air intrusions versus lingering warmth, while specific temperatures around 24–26°C trade at lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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