Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and model consensus indicate Taipei's overnight low on August 25 will likely fall in the mid-20s°C amid persistent low-pressure influences, monsoon moisture, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Cloud cover and rainfall suppress temperature drops below typical seasonal baselines near 26°C, while any clearing could allow modest cooling toward 24–25°C or, less likely, brief extremes. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-22°C and 31°C+ outcomes reflect genuine forecast divergence in steering patterns and precipitation timing over the next 48 hours, with traders weighing model runs against historical August nocturnal ranges of 24–27°C. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify steering winds and moisture advection.