Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 58.5% for the March market, reflecting the absence of any specified triggers despite heightened tensions from U.S.-Israel airstrikes on Iranian targets like Natanz, Hezbollah missile exchanges, and nationwide No Kings protests drawing millions on March 28. The Federal Reserve held federal funds rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 18 FOMC meeting amid persistent inflation and oil shocks from the Hormuz blockade. The SAVE Act stalled in Senate debate short of a filibuster-proof 60 votes; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency; and the Insurrection Act went uninvoked, consistent with prior protest patterns. Iranian leadership endured as "degraded but intact" per DNI assessments. Texas Senate primaries saw James Talarico win the Democratic nomination on March 3, but John Cornyn advanced only to a GOP runoff with Ken Paxton, falling short of both securing general election candidacies by March 31—leaving residual UMA oracle review as the key uncertainty ahead of full primary certification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNichts
$336,344 Vol.
$336,344 Vol.
Nichts
$336,344 Vol.
$336,344 Vol.
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 58.5% for the March market, reflecting the absence of any specified triggers despite heightened tensions from U.S.-Israel airstrikes on Iranian targets like Natanz, Hezbollah missile exchanges, and nationwide No Kings protests drawing millions on March 28. The Federal Reserve held federal funds rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% in its March 18 FOMC meeting amid persistent inflation and oil shocks from the Hormuz blockade. The SAVE Act stalled in Senate debate short of a filibuster-proof 60 votes; President Trump issued no election interference national emergency; and the Insurrection Act went uninvoked, consistent with prior protest patterns. Iranian leadership endured as "degraded but intact" per DNI assessments. Texas Senate primaries saw James Talarico win the Democratic nomination on March 3, but John Cornyn advanced only to a GOP runoff with Ken Paxton, falling short of both securing general election candidacies by March 31—leaving residual UMA oracle review as the key uncertainty ahead of full primary certification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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