Trader consensus favors "Nothing" at 57.5% implied probability as none of the specified triggers materialized by March 31, 2026, despite heightened risks. Ongoing U.S.-Israel airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and Hezbollah exchanges since late February failed to topple the Iranian regime, with no verified collapse reported. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March FOMC meeting, avoiding a rate cut amid persistent inflation. President Trump issued no national emergency declaration on election interference, nor was the Insurrection Act invoked amid scattered protests. The SAVE Act stalled without signature, and Texas Senate primaries—featuring John Cornyn's runoff after failing 50% threshold and James Talarico's Democratic bid—did not satisfy the dual-candidate condition per rules. Market awaits UMA oracle certification of primary results, but traders price low dispute risk.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNichts
$335,986 Vol.
$335,986 Vol.
31. März 2026
Nichts
$335,986 Vol.
$335,986 Vol.
31. März 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus favors "Nothing" at 57.5% implied probability as none of the specified triggers materialized by March 31, 2026, despite heightened risks. Ongoing U.S.-Israel airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and Hezbollah exchanges since late February failed to topple the Iranian regime, with no verified collapse reported. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March FOMC meeting, avoiding a rate cut amid persistent inflation. President Trump issued no national emergency declaration on election interference, nor was the Insurrection Act invoked amid scattered protests. The SAVE Act stalled without signature, and Texas Senate primaries—featuring John Cornyn's runoff after failing 50% threshold and James Talarico's Democratic bid—did not satisfy the dual-candidate condition per rules. Market awaits UMA oracle certification of primary results, but traders price low dispute risk.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volumen
$335,986Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus favors "Nothing" at 57.5% implied probability as none of the specified triggers materialized by March 31, 2026, despite heightened risks. Ongoing U.S.-Israel airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and Hezbollah exchanges since late February failed to topple the Iranian regime, with no verified collapse reported. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March FOMC meeting, avoiding a rate cut amid persistent inflation. President Trump issued no national emergency declaration on election interference, nor was the Insurrection Act invoked amid scattered protests. The SAVE Act stalled without signature, and Texas Senate primaries—featuring John Cornyn's runoff after failing 50% threshold and James Talarico's Democratic bid—did not satisfy the dual-candidate condition per rules. Market awaits UMA oracle certification of primary results, but traders price low dispute risk.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volumen
$335,986Enddatum
31. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "Nothing" at 57.5% implied probability as none of the specified triggers materialized by March 31, 2026, despite heightened risks. Ongoing U.S.-Israel airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and Hezbollah exchanges since late February failed to topple the Iranian regime, with no verified collapse reported. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March FOMC meeting, avoiding a rate cut amid persistent inflation. President Trump issued no national emergency declaration on election interference, nor was the Insurrection Act invoked amid scattered protests. The SAVE Act stalled without signature, and Texas Senate primaries—featuring John Cornyn's runoff after failing 50% threshold and James Talarico's Democratic bid—did not satisfy the dual-candidate condition per rules. Market awaits UMA oracle certification of primary results, but traders price low dispute risk.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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