Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the clearest edge in the Pernambuco Senate race for first place, with recent Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys from April through mid-August 2026 placing her at 18–29% first-round support while the field for second remains fragmented. Multiple viable contenders including Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) register in the mid-teens or lower, producing technical ties in most head-to-head scenarios. Arraes’s recent party switch to PDT and consistent name recognition as a former federal deputy have helped consolidate left-leaning and independent voters. The tight spread among the remaining candidates reflects undecided blocs, limited campaign spending to date, and the two-seat structure, leaving room for late shifts from endorsements, alliances with Governor Raquel Lyra’s PSD, or turnout differentials before the October 2026 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMarília Arraes 68%
Mailson da Silva Neto 12%
Samuel Timoteo 7%
Gorett Bitu 5%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Marília Arraes
75%
Mailson da Silva Neto
11%
Samuel Timoteo
7%
Gorett Bitu
5%
Mendonça Filho
5%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
5%
Mariano Macedo
5%
Túlio Gadêlha
4%
Carlos Sant'Anna
12%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
12%
Eduardo da Fonte
1%
Humberto Costa
1%
Marília Arraes 68%
Mailson da Silva Neto 12%
Samuel Timoteo 7%
Gorett Bitu 5%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
Marília Arraes
$281 Vol.
75%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$140 Vol.
11%
Samuel Timoteo
$123 Vol.
7%
Gorett Bitu
$116 Vol.
5%
Mendonça Filho
$116 Vol.
5%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$116 Vol.
5%
Mariano Macedo
$116 Vol.
5%
Túlio Gadêlha
$116 Vol.
4%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$113 Vol.
12%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$116 Vol.
12%
Eduardo da Fonte
$113 Vol.
1%
Humberto Costa
$113 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the clearest edge in the Pernambuco Senate race for first place, with recent Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys from April through mid-August 2026 placing her at 18–29% first-round support while the field for second remains fragmented. Multiple viable contenders including Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) register in the mid-teens or lower, producing technical ties in most head-to-head scenarios. Arraes’s recent party switch to PDT and consistent name recognition as a former federal deputy have helped consolidate left-leaning and independent voters. The tight spread among the remaining candidates reflects undecided blocs, limited campaign spending to date, and the two-seat structure, leaving room for late shifts from endorsements, alliances with Governor Raquel Lyra’s PSD, or turnout differentials before the October 2026 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,581Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the clearest edge in the Pernambuco Senate race for first place, with recent Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys from April through mid-August 2026 placing her at 18–29% first-round support while the field for second remains fragmented. Multiple viable contenders including Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) register in the mid-teens or lower, producing technical ties in most head-to-head scenarios. Arraes’s recent party switch to PDT and consistent name recognition as a former federal deputy have helped consolidate left-leaning and independent voters. The tight spread among the remaining candidates reflects undecided blocs, limited campaign spending to date, and the two-seat structure, leaving room for late shifts from endorsements, alliances with Governor Raquel Lyra’s PSD, or turnout differentials before the October 2026 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,581Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the clearest edge in the Pernambuco Senate race for first place, with recent Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys from April through mid-August 2026 placing her at 18–29% first-round support while the field for second remains fragmented. Multiple viable contenders including Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) register in the mid-teens or lower, producing technical ties in most head-to-head scenarios. Arraes’s recent party switch to PDT and consistent name recognition as a former federal deputy have helped consolidate left-leaning and independent voters. The tight spread among the remaining candidates reflects undecided blocs, limited campaign spending to date, and the two-seat structure, leaving room for late shifts from endorsements, alliances with Governor Raquel Lyra’s PSD, or turnout differentials before the October 2026 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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