The 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial contest remains highly uncertain more than a year before the vote, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of Morena-aligned contenders. Recent U.S. indictments naming several figures, including Culiacán mayor Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil and others tied to alleged cartel ties, have introduced legal and political risks that continue to shape positioning without eliminating frontrunners. Internal party negotiations, potential primary mechanics, and eligibility questions keep multiple candidates viable, preventing any single name from pulling ahead decisively. Scheduled Morena selection steps and possible further disclosures could shift implied probabilities before the general election cycle advances.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEduardo Ortiz Hernández 39%
Paloma Sánchez Ramos 37%
Mario Zamora Gastélum 36%
Jesús Fernando García Hernández 34%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
39%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
37%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
36%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
34%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
32%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
29%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
29%

María Fernanda Rivera
28%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
27%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
26%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
25%

Sergio Torres Félix
14%

Omar López Campos
14%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
11%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
11%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
6%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
5%

Imelda Castro Castro
-

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
30%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
39%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
38%
Eduardo Ortiz Hernández 39%
Paloma Sánchez Ramos 37%
Mario Zamora Gastélum 36%
Jesús Fernando García Hernández 34%

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
39%

Paloma Sánchez Ramos
37%

Mario Zamora Gastélum
36%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández
34%

Ricardo Madrid Pérez
32%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
29%

Roxana Rubio Valdez
29%

María Fernanda Rivera
28%

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
27%

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
26%

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
25%

Sergio Torres Félix
14%

Omar López Campos
14%

Graciela Domínguez Nava
11%

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
11%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
6%

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
5%

Imelda Castro Castro
-

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
30%

Estrella Palacios Domínguez
39%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
38%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial contest remains highly uncertain more than a year before the vote, with trader consensus reflecting a fragmented field of Morena-aligned contenders. Recent U.S. indictments naming several figures, including Culiacán mayor Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil and others tied to alleged cartel ties, have introduced legal and political risks that continue to shape positioning without eliminating frontrunners. Internal party negotiations, potential primary mechanics, and eligibility questions keep multiple candidates viable, preventing any single name from pulling ahead decisively. Scheduled Morena selection steps and possible further disclosures could shift implied probabilities before the general election cycle advances.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen