Nayarit’s 2027 gubernatorial contest remains wide open, with no candidate exceeding low-40s implied probability as traders price a fragmented field ahead of party nominations. Morena, the state’s dominant force, faces multiple aspirants including Senator Pavel Jarero Velázquez, while opposition and independent figures such as Gustavo Ayón Aguirre and Enrique Díaz López trail further behind. Early positioning, internal polling, and coalition negotiations within the ruling party are the main variables keeping probabilities compressed. Upcoming candidate registration deadlines, primary conventions, and any high-profile endorsements or defections could quickly consolidate support and separate leaders. Resolution hinges on the official election outcome once nominees are finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEnrique Díaz López 75%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez 73%
Héctor Santana García 24%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 24%

Enrique Díaz López
75%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
73%

Héctor Santana García
24%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
24%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
22%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
30%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
21%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
20%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
20%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
19%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
19%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
18%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
31%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
18%

José Antonio Barajas López
19%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
16%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
23%

Nadia Ramírez López
20%

Ignacio Flores Medina
19%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
7%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
-

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
28%
Enrique Díaz López 75%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez 73%
Héctor Santana García 24%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 24%

Enrique Díaz López
75%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
73%

Héctor Santana García
24%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
24%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
22%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
30%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
21%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
20%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
20%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
19%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
19%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
18%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
31%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
18%

José Antonio Barajas López
19%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
16%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
23%

Nadia Ramírez López
20%

Ignacio Flores Medina
19%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
7%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
-

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
28%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Nayarit’s 2027 gubernatorial contest remains wide open, with no candidate exceeding low-40s implied probability as traders price a fragmented field ahead of party nominations. Morena, the state’s dominant force, faces multiple aspirants including Senator Pavel Jarero Velázquez, while opposition and independent figures such as Gustavo Ayón Aguirre and Enrique Díaz López trail further behind. Early positioning, internal polling, and coalition negotiations within the ruling party are the main variables keeping probabilities compressed. Upcoming candidate registration deadlines, primary conventions, and any high-profile endorsements or defections could quickly consolidate support and separate leaders. Resolution hinges on the official election outcome once nominees are finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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