The Nayarit gubernatorial race for 2027 remains early and fluid, with the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance holding a consistent polling edge near or above 50 percent in mid-2026 surveys, which sustains elevated implied probabilities for its internal contenders. Recent July measurements placed alliance support well ahead of Movimiento Ciudadano, PAN, and PRI, while internal preference tests showed Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez trading narrow leads amid high undecided shares. Multiple aspirants from opposition parties and the crowded Morena field have kept individual odds compressed near 30 percent or lower. Party internal selections, formal registrations, and any shifts in alliance negotiations over the coming months could widen gaps once clearer tickets emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHéctor Santana García 30.4%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 30.0%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 13.1%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 11.7%
$30,014 Vol.
$30,014 Vol.

Héctor Santana García
30%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
30%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
13%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
12%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
4%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
3%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
1%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%

José Antonio Barajas López
<1%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
<1%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%

Nadia Ramírez López
<1%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%

Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%

Enrique Díaz López
<1%
Héctor Santana García 30.4%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 30.0%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 13.1%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 11.7%
$30,014 Vol.
$30,014 Vol.

Héctor Santana García
30%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
30%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
13%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
12%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
4%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
3%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
1%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%

José Antonio Barajas López
<1%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
<1%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%

Nadia Ramírez López
<1%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%

Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%

Enrique Díaz López
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The Nayarit gubernatorial race for 2027 remains early and fluid, with the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance holding a consistent polling edge near or above 50 percent in mid-2026 surveys, which sustains elevated implied probabilities for its internal contenders. Recent July measurements placed alliance support well ahead of Movimiento Ciudadano, PAN, and PRI, while internal preference tests showed Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez trading narrow leads amid high undecided shares. Multiple aspirants from opposition parties and the crowded Morena field have kept individual odds compressed near 30 percent or lower. Party internal selections, formal registrations, and any shifts in alliance negotiations over the coming months could widen gaps once clearer tickets emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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