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icon for Gewinner der Nachwahl des Bezirks Nord-Nalšia
Welt·Hauptwahl

Gewinner der Nachwahl des Bezirks Nord-Nalšia

icon for Gewinner der Nachwahl des Bezirks Nord-Nalšia
Welt·Hauptwahl

Gewinner der Nachwahl des Bezirks Nord-Nalšia

Gintautas Kindurys 38%

Ignotas Adomavičius 38%

Vladislav Kondratovič 27%

Dalia Štraupaitė 22%

Polymarket
NEU

Gintautas Kindurys 38%

Ignotas Adomavičius 38%

Vladislav Kondratovič 27%

Dalia Štraupaitė 22%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Gintautas Kindurys

Gintautas Kindurys

$64 Vol.

38%

icon for Ignotas Adomavičius

Ignotas Adomavičius

$64 Vol.

38%

icon for Vladislav Kondratovič

Vladislav Kondratovič

$205 Vol.

27%

icon for Dalia Štraupaitė

Dalia Štraupaitė

$64 Vol.

22%

icon for Antanas Šakalis

Antanas Šakalis

$64 Vol.

13%

icon for Maksimas Paukštė

Maksimas Paukštė

$64 Vol.

13%

icon for Viktor Voronin

Viktor Voronin

$64 Vol.

10%

icon for Nikolajus Lebedevičius

Nikolajus Lebedevičius

$64 Vol.

10%

icon for Mėta Palauskaitė

Mėta Palauskaitė

$64 Vol.

9%

icon for Andrej Šildiajėv

Andrej Šildiajėv

$64 Vol.

8%

icon for Giedrius Dainys

Giedrius Dainys

$54 Vol.

7%

An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).The 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election, scheduled for 8 November with a possible runoff on 22 November, follows the sudden death of incumbent Jevgenij Šuklin of the Liberals' Movement, who had won the seat in 2024. Gintautas Kindurys of the Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union holds the narrowest lead in trader pricing after topping the 2024 first-round vote share in the constituency, though he fell short in the second round against Šuklin. A crowded field of more than two dozen candidates, including Mėta Palauskaitė for the Liberals, Vladislav Kondratovič for the Social Democrats, and several smaller-party or independent entrants, keeps implied probabilities clustered near even odds for most contenders. Lithuanian single-member district rules, which require a majority for outright victory or advance the top two to a runoff, sustain the tight contest absent major late endorsements, turnout shifts among rural or regional voters, or clearer polling signals on second-round transfers.

An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.

If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
Volumen
$835
Enddatum
8. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47de9d...
An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).The 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election, scheduled for 8 November with a possible runoff on 22 November, follows the sudden death of incumbent Jevgenij Šuklin of the Liberals' Movement, who had won the seat in 2024. Gintautas Kindurys of the Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union holds the narrowest lead in trader pricing after topping the 2024 first-round vote share in the constituency, though he fell short in the second round against Šuklin. A crowded field of more than two dozen candidates, including Mėta Palauskaitė for the Liberals, Vladislav Kondratovič for the Social Democrats, and several smaller-party or independent entrants, keeps implied probabilities clustered near even odds for most contenders. Lithuanian single-member district rules, which require a majority for outright victory or advance the top two to a runoff, sustain the tight contest absent major late endorsements, turnout shifts among rural or regional voters, or clearer polling signals on second-round transfers.

An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.

If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).
Volumen
$835
Enddatum
8. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47de9d...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Nachwahl des Bezirks Nord-Nalšia" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Ignotas Adomavičius" mit 72%, gefolgt von „Gintautas Kindurys" mit 42%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 72¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 72% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Gewinner der Nachwahl des Bezirks Nord-Nalšia" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 23, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Gewinner der Nachwahl des Bezirks Nord-Nalšia" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Nachwahl des Bezirks Nord-Nalšia" ist „Ignotas Adomavičius" mit 72%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 72% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Gintautas Kindurys" mit 42%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Nachwahl des Bezirks Nord-Nalšia" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.