Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 28%, with the Sweden Democrats holding second place around 19% and the Moderate Party positioned just behind near 17-18%. This ordering has remained stable in aggregated surveys through early September, supporting trader consensus on the Moderate Party as the likeliest third-place finisher. The right-wing bloc has narrowed the overall gap to the centre-left opposition in recent weeks, driven by gains for the Liberals above the 4% threshold in some polls, yet these shifts have not altered the relative standings among the top three parties. Late-campaign focus on crime, immigration, and economic issues has not produced measurable movement in party rankings sufficient to elevate the Sweden Democrats into third or displace the Moderates from that slot.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertModerate Party (M) 77%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 24%
Left Party (V) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$115,340 Vol.
$115,340 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
24%

Moderate Party (M)
77%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 77%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 24%
Left Party (V) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$115,340 Vol.
$115,340 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
24%

Moderate Party (M)
77%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 28%, with the Sweden Democrats holding second place around 19% and the Moderate Party positioned just behind near 17-18%. This ordering has remained stable in aggregated surveys through early September, supporting trader consensus on the Moderate Party as the likeliest third-place finisher. The right-wing bloc has narrowed the overall gap to the centre-left opposition in recent weeks, driven by gains for the Liberals above the 4% threshold in some polls, yet these shifts have not altered the relative standings among the top three parties. Late-campaign focus on crime, immigration, and economic issues has not produced measurable movement in party rankings sufficient to elevate the Sweden Democrats into third or displace the Moderates from that slot.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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