Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" under $44 million for its third domestic weekend (95.4% implied probability), aligned with industry tracking estimates of $35–45 million from Boxoffice Pro. After a robust $131.7 million Easter opening and $69 million sophomore frame (-47% drop, reaching $308 million domestic cume), the frontrunner faces steeper declines amid new wide releases like Warner Bros.' "The Mummy" directed by Lee Cronin and A24's "Mother Mary," plus screen losses from holdovers such as "Project Hail Mary." Family audience softening post-holiday further tempers expectations, mirroring historical animated sequel patterns. Realistic upsets hinge on exceptional word-of-mouth sustaining premium formats or competitors underperforming, potentially pushing toward the $45 million ceiling. Final tallies report Sunday, April 19.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3. Wochenende Abendkasse
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3. Wochenende Abendkasse
<44 Mio. 95.5%
44-48 Mio. 3.6%
>52 Mio. <1%
48-52 Mio. <1%
$38,423 Vol.
$38,423 Vol.
<44 Mio.
96%
44-48 Mio.
4%
48-52 Mio.
<1%
>52 Mio.
1%
<44 Mio. 95.5%
44-48 Mio. 3.6%
>52 Mio. <1%
48-52 Mio. <1%
$38,423 Vol.
$38,423 Vol.
<44 Mio.
96%
44-48 Mio.
4%
48-52 Mio.
<1%
>52 Mio.
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" under $44 million for its third domestic weekend (95.4% implied probability), aligned with industry tracking estimates of $35–45 million from Boxoffice Pro. After a robust $131.7 million Easter opening and $69 million sophomore frame (-47% drop, reaching $308 million domestic cume), the frontrunner faces steeper declines amid new wide releases like Warner Bros.' "The Mummy" directed by Lee Cronin and A24's "Mother Mary," plus screen losses from holdovers such as "Project Hail Mary." Family audience softening post-holiday further tempers expectations, mirroring historical animated sequel patterns. Realistic upsets hinge on exceptional word-of-mouth sustaining premium formats or competitors underperforming, potentially pushing toward the $45 million ceiling. Final tallies report Sunday, April 19.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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