Trump's second-term approval ratings have averaged in the low-to-mid 40s before settling near 36-40% in mid-2026, with recent polls showing fresh lows around 33-36%. The ongoing conflict with Iran, which escalated earlier in the year, has weighed on sentiment through declining support for his foreign policy handling, reduced Republican backing, and broader concerns over economic impacts including tariffs and gas prices. Domestic issues such as immigration enforcement, trade policy, and cost-of-living pressures have also contributed to steady erosion, particularly among independents and younger voters. Approaching November 2026 midterms add further uncertainty, as potential shifts in congressional control or new legislative developments could alter public perceptions before year-end. Historical patterns show limited volatility in second-term ratings absent major breakthroughs or crises.