Skip to main content
icon for 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

icon for 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

60-65% 98.4%

55-60% <1%

<50% <1%

65%+ <1%

Polymarket

$190,277 Vol.

60-65% 98.4%

55-60% <1%

<50% <1%

65%+ <1%

Polymarket

$190,277 Vol.

<50%

$27,659 Vol.

No

50-55%

$29,039 Vol.

No

55-60%

$56,132 Vol.

No

60-65%

$54,449 Vol.

65%+

$22,997 Vol.

No

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).Record early voting at 23.51 percent, the highest for South Korean local elections, combined with midday figures reaching 57.4 percent by 5 p.m. on June 3, has anchored trader consensus on 60-65 percent final turnout for the Seoul mayoral contest. This exceeds the 2022 local elections' 50.9 percent nationwide rate and aligns with Seoul's confirmed 63.53 percent participation once counting concludes. The elevated participation reflects broader engagement in the first nationwide local vote under the current administration. Ballot paper shortages at multiple Seoul polling stations, which prompted extended voting, protests, and delays in National Election Commission certification, represent the primary variables that could still shift the final tally outside this narrow band.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
Volumen
$190,277
Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).Record early voting at 23.51 percent, the highest for South Korean local elections, combined with midday figures reaching 57.4 percent by 5 p.m. on June 3, has anchored trader consensus on 60-65 percent final turnout for the Seoul mayoral contest. This exceeds the 2022 local elections' 50.9 percent nationwide rate and aligns with Seoul's confirmed 63.53 percent participation once counting concludes. The elevated participation reflects broader engagement in the first nationwide local vote under the current administration. Ballot paper shortages at multiple Seoul polling stations, which prompted extended voting, protests, and delays in National Election Commission certification, represent the primary variables that could still shift the final tally outside this narrow band.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
Volumen
$190,277
Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "60-65%" con 100%, seguido de "<50%" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout" ha generado $190.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout" es "60-65%" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<50%" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.