Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, in power following the 2025 federal election, faces a fixed election date no later than October 15, 2029, under the Canada Elections Act. An earlier dissolution remains possible on the prime minister’s advice or after losing a confidence vote in the House of Commons. As of early August 2026, however, Parliament continues with only by-elections scheduled for August 31, and no supply bill defeat or no-confidence motion has materialized. Recent polling has shown the Liberals holding a competitive or leading position, reducing immediate pressure for a snap contest before economic or international developments shift sentiment. Traders therefore assign low probability to an election being called by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of procedural triggers and the government’s current stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$92,371 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre de 2026
6%
$92,371 Vol.
31 de diciembre de 2026
$714 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, in power following the 2025 federal election, faces a fixed election date no later than October 15, 2029, under the Canada Elections Act. An earlier dissolution remains possible on the prime minister’s advice or after losing a confidence vote in the House of Commons. As of early August 2026, however, Parliament continues with only by-elections scheduled for August 31, and no supply bill defeat or no-confidence motion has materialized. Recent polling has shown the Liberals holding a competitive or leading position, reducing immediate pressure for a snap contest before economic or international developments shift sentiment. Traders therefore assign low probability to an election being called by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of procedural triggers and the government’s current stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Volumen
$92,371Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, in power following the 2025 federal election, faces a fixed election date no later than October 15, 2029, under the Canada Elections Act. An earlier dissolution remains possible on the prime minister’s advice or after losing a confidence vote in the House of Commons. As of early August 2026, however, Parliament continues with only by-elections scheduled for August 31, and no supply bill defeat or no-confidence motion has materialized. Recent polling has shown the Liberals holding a competitive or leading position, reducing immediate pressure for a snap contest before economic or international developments shift sentiment. Traders therefore assign low probability to an election being called by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of procedural triggers and the government’s current stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$92,371Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, in power following the 2025 federal election, faces a fixed election date no later than October 15, 2029, under the Canada Elections Act. An earlier dissolution remains possible on the prime minister’s advice or after losing a confidence vote in the House of Commons. As of early August 2026, however, Parliament continues with only by-elections scheduled for August 31, and no supply bill defeat or no-confidence motion has materialized. Recent polling has shown the Liberals holding a competitive or leading position, reducing immediate pressure for a snap contest before economic or international developments shift sentiment. Traders therefore assign low probability to an election being called by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of procedural triggers and the government’s current stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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