Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs holds an 87.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial election, well ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 12.5%. This positioning stems from Hobbs' consistent polling leads of 5–13 points in recent surveys, driven by strong Democratic voter consolidation at 86% support and notable crossover from independents and women. Her August selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate has reinforced bipartisan messaging on issues like border security, housing, and costs. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July 21 primary but has faced weaker Republican turnout and enthusiasm, with polls showing him at only 70–75% of his party's vote. Hobbs' fundraising edge and early advertising further bolster her position heading into the final stretch.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Arizona
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Arizona
$67,474 Vol.
$67,474 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
88%
Andy Biggs (R)
13%
$67,474 Vol.
$67,474 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
$31,230 Vol.
88%
Andy Biggs (R)
$36,244 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs holds an 87.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial election, well ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 12.5%. This positioning stems from Hobbs' consistent polling leads of 5–13 points in recent surveys, driven by strong Democratic voter consolidation at 86% support and notable crossover from independents and women. Her August selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate has reinforced bipartisan messaging on issues like border security, housing, and costs. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July 21 primary but has faced weaker Republican turnout and enthusiasm, with polls showing him at only 70–75% of his party's vote. Hobbs' fundraising edge and early advertising further bolster her position heading into the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$67,474Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs holds an 87.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial election, well ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 12.5%. This positioning stems from Hobbs' consistent polling leads of 5–13 points in recent surveys, driven by strong Democratic voter consolidation at 86% support and notable crossover from independents and women. Her August selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate has reinforced bipartisan messaging on issues like border security, housing, and costs. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July 21 primary but has faced weaker Republican turnout and enthusiasm, with polls showing him at only 70–75% of his party's vote. Hobbs' fundraising edge and early advertising further bolster her position heading into the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$67,474Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs holds an 87.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, Arizona gubernatorial election, well ahead of Republican nominee Andy Biggs at 12.5%. This positioning stems from Hobbs' consistent polling leads of 5–13 points in recent surveys, driven by strong Democratic voter consolidation at 86% support and notable crossover from independents and women. Her August selection of former Republican Mesa Mayor John Giles as running mate has reinforced bipartisan messaging on issues like border security, housing, and costs. Biggs secured the GOP nomination decisively in the July 21 primary but has faced weaker Republican turnout and enthusiasm, with polls showing him at only 70–75% of his party's vote. Hobbs' fundraising edge and early advertising further bolster her position heading into the final stretch.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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