Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 84.6% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow announcements, or official statements signaling imminent public listing despite the data analytics and AI platform's robust momentum. The company's February 2026 funding round—$5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion valuation—bolstered its $5.4 billion revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth, enabling executives to extend private status amid favorable venture conditions for high-growth lakehouse providers. With just six weeks remaining and no regulatory filings or banker engagements reported, traders see slim odds for the multi-month IPO process to complete, pricing specific market cap brackets like 125–150B at under 2% each. Watch for Q2 earnings hints on future timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 84.5%
200–250B 2.1%
125–150B 1.4%
<100 mil millones <1%
$403,994 Vol.
$403,994 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<100 mil millones
<1%
100–125 mil millones
<1%
125–150B
1%
150–175 mil millones
<1%
175–200 mil millones
<1%
200–250B
2%
250 mil millones+
<1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
85%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026 84.5%
200–250B 2.1%
125–150B 1.4%
<100 mil millones <1%
$403,994 Vol.
$403,994 Vol.
30 jun 2026
<100 mil millones
$33,240 Vol.
<1%
100–125 mil millones
$62,203 Vol.
<1%
125–150B
$26,692 Vol.
1%
150–175 mil millones
$59,896 Vol.
<1%
175–200 mil millones
$58,153 Vol.
<1%
200–250B
$21,122 Vol.
2%
250 mil millones+
$126,215 Vol.
<1%
Sin salida a bolsa antes del 30 de junio de 2026
$16,474 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 84.6% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow announcements, or official statements signaling imminent public listing despite the data analytics and AI platform's robust momentum. The company's February 2026 funding round—$5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion valuation—bolstered its $5.4 billion revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth, enabling executives to extend private status amid favorable venture conditions for high-growth lakehouse providers. With just six weeks remaining and no regulatory filings or banker engagements reported, traders see slim odds for the multi-month IPO process to complete, pricing specific market cap brackets like 125–150B at under 2% each. Watch for Q2 earnings hints on future timelines.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volumen
$403,994Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 84.6% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow announcements, or official statements signaling imminent public listing despite the data analytics and AI platform's robust momentum. The company's February 2026 funding round—$5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion valuation—bolstered its $5.4 billion revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth, enabling executives to extend private status amid favorable venture conditions for high-growth lakehouse providers. With just six weeks remaining and no regulatory filings or banker engagements reported, traders see slim odds for the multi-month IPO process to complete, pricing specific market cap brackets like 125–150B at under 2% each. Watch for Q2 earnings hints on future timelines.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$403,994Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 84.6% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow announcements, or official statements signaling imminent public listing despite the data analytics and AI platform's robust momentum. The company's February 2026 funding round—$5 billion in equity plus $2 billion in debt at a $134 billion valuation—bolstered its $5.4 billion revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth, enabling executives to extend private status amid favorable venture conditions for high-growth lakehouse providers. With just six weeks remaining and no regulatory filings or banker engagements reported, traders see slim odds for the multi-month IPO process to complete, pricing specific market cap brackets like 125–150B at under 2% each. Watch for Q2 earnings hints on future timelines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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