SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, marked by its May 2026 SEC filing and plans for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, underpins the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied probability for a June listing. Recent Reuters reports detail a fixed $135 per share price targeting a record $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation, with the roadshow set to begin imminently. This concrete progression—following confidential submissions in April—has aligned trader consensus around swift resolution in the current month. While the dominant positioning reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the filing momentum, realistic challenges could include last-minute regulatory hurdles or adverse market volatility that might push pricing or trading into early July, though such shifts appear low-probability given the advanced stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJunio 98.2%
Agosto <1%
Julio <1%
Octubre <1%
$443,280 Vol.
$443,280 Vol.
Junio
98%
Julio
<1%
Agosto
1%
Septiembre
<1%
Octubre
<1%
Noviembre
<1%
Diciembre
<1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
<1%
Junio 98.2%
Agosto <1%
Julio <1%
Octubre <1%
$443,280 Vol.
$443,280 Vol.
Junio
98%
Julio
<1%
Agosto
1%
Septiembre
<1%
Octubre
<1%
Noviembre
<1%
Diciembre
<1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, marked by its May 2026 SEC filing and plans for a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX as early as June 12, underpins the overwhelming 98.2% market-implied probability for a June listing. Recent Reuters reports detail a fixed $135 per share price targeting a record $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation, with the roadshow set to begin imminently. This concrete progression—following confidential submissions in April—has aligned trader consensus around swift resolution in the current month. While the dominant positioning reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the filing momentum, realistic challenges could include last-minute regulatory hurdles or adverse market volatility that might push pricing or trading into early July, though such shifts appear low-probability given the advanced stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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