SpaceX’s fixed-price IPO at $135 per share, targeting a record $75 billion raise and roughly $1.8 trillion valuation, has locked in a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, producing the 99.8% market-implied probability for a June resolution. Institutional orders exceeding $10 billion have rendered the offering heavily oversubscribed, with roadshow activity and allocation finalization this week reinforcing trader consensus around the mid-month timeline. While the strong positioning reflects verified filings and demand data, any last-minute regulatory hold or abrupt shift in broader equity-market conditions could still introduce modest delay risk before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJunio 99.7%
Agosto <1%
Julio <1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 <1%
$505,862 Vol.
$505,862 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Junio
100%
Julio
<1%
Agosto
<1%
Septiembre
<1%
Octubre
<1%
Noviembre
<1%
Diciembre
<1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
<1%
Junio 99.7%
Agosto <1%
Julio <1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027 <1%
$505,862 Vol.
$505,862 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Junio
$174,276 Vol.
100%
Julio
$29,401 Vol.
<1%
Agosto
$18,834 Vol.
<1%
Septiembre
$19,268 Vol.
<1%
Octubre
$17,283 Vol.
<1%
Noviembre
$16,223 Vol.
<1%
Diciembre
$10,589 Vol.
<1%
Sin OPI antes de 2027
$28,386 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX’s fixed-price IPO at $135 per share, targeting a record $75 billion raise and roughly $1.8 trillion valuation, has locked in a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, producing the 99.8% market-implied probability for a June resolution. Institutional orders exceeding $10 billion have rendered the offering heavily oversubscribed, with roadshow activity and allocation finalization this week reinforcing trader consensus around the mid-month timeline. While the strong positioning reflects verified filings and demand data, any last-minute regulatory hold or abrupt shift in broader equity-market conditions could still introduce modest delay risk before year-end.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado abierto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Volumen
$505,862Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX’s fixed-price IPO at $135 per share, targeting a record $75 billion raise and roughly $1.8 trillion valuation, has locked in a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, producing the 99.8% market-implied probability for a June resolution. Institutional orders exceeding $10 billion have rendered the offering heavily oversubscribed, with roadshow activity and allocation finalization this week reinforcing trader consensus around the mid-month timeline. While the strong positioning reflects verified filings and demand data, any last-minute regulatory hold or abrupt shift in broader equity-market conditions could still introduce modest delay risk before year-end.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Volumen
$505,862Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s fixed-price IPO at $135 per share, targeting a record $75 billion raise and roughly $1.8 trillion valuation, has locked in a June 12 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, producing the 99.8% market-implied probability for a June resolution. Institutional orders exceeding $10 billion have rendered the offering heavily oversubscribed, with roadshow activity and allocation finalization this week reinforcing trader consensus around the mid-month timeline. While the strong positioning reflects verified filings and demand data, any last-minute regulatory hold or abrupt shift in broader equity-market conditions could still introduce modest delay risk before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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