Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 300-319 tweets as the frontrunner at 47.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, 2026, driven by the current tally of 270 posts over the first six days at a 45-per-day pace, projecting a total around 314 amid 86% market progress. Sustained high-volume posting—consistent with March 2026's 42+ daily average—stems from viral engagements on Starlink's South African rollout battles over B-BBEE laws, U.S. immigration debates, and political jabs, fueling rapid-fire replies and quotes. The 320-339 (21.6%) and 280-299 (21.4%) outcomes reflect bets on potential late surges or dips in the final 24 hours before April 17 close, as Musk's unpredictable cultural provocations keep sentiment volatile.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado300-319 50%
280-299 24.6%
320-339 18.8%
340-359 5.1%
$10,354,982 Vol.
$10,354,982 Vol.
17 abr 2026
260-279
1%
280-299
25%
300-319
50%
320-339
19%
340-359
5%
360-379
2%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 50%
280-299 24.6%
320-339 18.8%
340-359 5.1%
$10,354,982 Vol.
$10,354,982 Vol.
17 abr 2026
260-279
$696,891 Vol.
1%
280-299
$457,259 Vol.
25%
300-319
$353,719 Vol.
50%
320-339
$460,489 Vol.
19%
340-359
$401,496 Vol.
5%
360-379
$417,901 Vol.
2%
380-399
$369,006 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$494,830 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$430,731 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$483,698 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$342,850 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$329,750 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$264,248 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$266,477 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$270,374 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$188,742 Vol.
<1%
580+
$354,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 300-319 tweets as the frontrunner at 47.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, 2026, driven by the current tally of 270 posts over the first six days at a 45-per-day pace, projecting a total around 314 amid 86% market progress. Sustained high-volume posting—consistent with March 2026's 42+ daily average—stems from viral engagements on Starlink's South African rollout battles over B-BBEE laws, U.S. immigration debates, and political jabs, fueling rapid-fire replies and quotes. The 320-339 (21.6%) and 280-299 (21.4%) outcomes reflect bets on potential late surges or dips in the final 24 hours before April 17 close, as Musk's unpredictable cultural provocations keep sentiment volatile.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$10,354,982Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 300-319 tweets as the frontrunner at 47.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, 2026, driven by the current tally of 270 posts over the first six days at a 45-per-day pace, projecting a total around 314 amid 86% market progress. Sustained high-volume posting—consistent with March 2026's 42+ daily average—stems from viral engagements on Starlink's South African rollout battles over B-BBEE laws, U.S. immigration debates, and political jabs, fueling rapid-fire replies and quotes. The 320-339 (21.6%) and 280-299 (21.4%) outcomes reflect bets on potential late surges or dips in the final 24 hours before April 17 close, as Musk's unpredictable cultural provocations keep sentiment volatile.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$10,354,982Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 300-319 tweets as the frontrunner at 47.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, 2026, driven by the current tally of 270 posts over the first six days at a 45-per-day pace, projecting a total around 314 amid 86% market progress. Sustained high-volume posting—consistent with March 2026's 42+ daily average—stems from viral engagements on Starlink's South African rollout battles over B-BBEE laws, U.S. immigration debates, and political jabs, fueling rapid-fire replies and quotes. The 320-339 (21.6%) and 280-299 (21.4%) outcomes reflect bets on potential late surges or dips in the final 24 hours before April 17 close, as Musk's unpredictable cultural provocations keep sentiment volatile.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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