Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16 to 18 at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent rhythm of 20-30 posts per day established in the prior April 13-15 window, which resolved squarely in that range amid Tesla AI advancements and Neuralink buzz driving viral engagement. The 40-64 band at 25.5% captures potential quieter days, while 90-114 at 22% accounts for upside from breaking news or reply threads, consistent with xTracker data showing a 45-post daily average over April 10-16 but adjusted for the market's 72-hour ET window. No major catalysts like launches or controversies have disrupted his habitual high-volume cultural commentary, though sudden political or SpaceX updates could swing volumes before April 18 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado65-89 40%
40-64 26%
90-114 22%
115-139 9%
$215,521 Vol.
$215,521 Vol.
18 abr 2026
Menos de 40
3%
40-64
26%
65-89
40%
90-114
22%
115-139
9%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 40%
40-64 26%
90-114 22%
115-139 9%
$215,521 Vol.
$215,521 Vol.
18 abr 2026
Menos de 40
$38,685 Vol.
3%
40-64
$13,126 Vol.
26%
65-89
$8,928 Vol.
40%
90-114
$10,139 Vol.
22%
115-139
$13,064 Vol.
9%
140-164
$13,203 Vol.
2%
165-189
$23,006 Vol.
1%
190-214
$28,807 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$20,870 Vol.
<1%
240+
$46,332 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16 to 18 at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent rhythm of 20-30 posts per day established in the prior April 13-15 window, which resolved squarely in that range amid Tesla AI advancements and Neuralink buzz driving viral engagement. The 40-64 band at 25.5% captures potential quieter days, while 90-114 at 22% accounts for upside from breaking news or reply threads, consistent with xTracker data showing a 45-post daily average over April 10-16 but adjusted for the market's 72-hour ET window. No major catalysts like launches or controversies have disrupted his habitual high-volume cultural commentary, though sudden political or SpaceX updates could swing volumes before April 18 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$215,521Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16 to 18 at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent rhythm of 20-30 posts per day established in the prior April 13-15 window, which resolved squarely in that range amid Tesla AI advancements and Neuralink buzz driving viral engagement. The 40-64 band at 25.5% captures potential quieter days, while 90-114 at 22% accounts for upside from breaking news or reply threads, consistent with xTracker data showing a 45-post daily average over April 10-16 but adjusted for the market's 72-hour ET window. No major catalysts like launches or controversies have disrupted his habitual high-volume cultural commentary, though sudden political or SpaceX updates could swing volumes before April 18 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$215,521Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16 to 18 at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent rhythm of 20-30 posts per day established in the prior April 13-15 window, which resolved squarely in that range amid Tesla AI advancements and Neuralink buzz driving viral engagement. The 40-64 band at 25.5% captures potential quieter days, while 90-114 at 22% accounts for upside from breaking news or reply threads, consistent with xTracker data showing a 45-post daily average over April 10-16 but adjusted for the market's 72-hour ET window. No major catalysts like launches or controversies have disrupted his habitual high-volume cultural commentary, though sudden political or SpaceX updates could swing volumes before April 18 resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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