Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 99°F on August 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with south winds and heat indices reaching 105°F, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (44.5%) and 96-97°F (34.5%). This positioning reflects the climatological peak of summer heat in central Texas, where early-to-mid August averages hover around 97-99°F, combined with a persistent upper-level ridge supporting clear to partly cloudy conditions and minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest upside risk for 100-101°F if subsidence strengthens, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 102°F+ well below 10% implied odds. Updated guidance expected tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 14 de agosto?
98-99°F 47%
96-97°F 35%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
35%
98-99°F
47%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106°F o más
<1%
98-99°F 47%
96-97°F 35%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
87°F or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$12 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$32 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$34 Vol.
6%
94-95°F
$28 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$50 Vol.
35%
98-99°F
$290 Vol.
47%
100-101°F
$54 Vol.
11%
102-103°F
$22 Vol.
5%
104-105°F
$125 Vol.
3%
106°F o más
$275 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 99°F on August 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with south winds and heat indices reaching 105°F, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (44.5%) and 96-97°F (34.5%). This positioning reflects the climatological peak of summer heat in central Texas, where early-to-mid August averages hover around 97-99°F, combined with a persistent upper-level ridge supporting clear to partly cloudy conditions and minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest upside risk for 100-101°F if subsidence strengthens, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 102°F+ well below 10% implied odds. Updated guidance expected tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$934Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 99°F on August 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with south winds and heat indices reaching 105°F, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (44.5%) and 96-97°F (34.5%). This positioning reflects the climatological peak of summer heat in central Texas, where early-to-mid August averages hover around 97-99°F, combined with a persistent upper-level ridge supporting clear to partly cloudy conditions and minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest upside risk for 100-101°F if subsidence strengthens, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 102°F+ well below 10% implied odds. Updated guidance expected tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$934Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 99°F on August 14 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with south winds and heat indices reaching 105°F, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 98-99°F (44.5%) and 96-97°F (34.5%). This positioning reflects the climatological peak of summer heat in central Texas, where early-to-mid August averages hover around 97-99°F, combined with a persistent upper-level ridge supporting clear to partly cloudy conditions and minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, with only modest upside risk for 100-101°F if subsidence strengthens, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 102°F+ well below 10% implied odds. Updated guidance expected tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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