Traders assign roughly equal 50% implied probabilities to a highest temperature of 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C or higher in Karachi on May 19 because official readings from the Pakistan Meteorological Department typically cluster in this narrow band during late May, when daytime maxima are shaped by Arabian Sea moisture, light sea breezes, and urban heat-island effects around the recording station. Regional forecast models show afternoon peaks sensitive to minor changes in cloud cover and wind speed, any of which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C and push the outcome across resolution thresholds. Historical May averages near 32 °C provide a baseline, yet the market reflects uncertainty over exact local conditions on that date rather than a clear directional signal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 19?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 19?
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$235 Vol.
$235 Vol.
19 may 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
Yes
33°C or higher 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$235 Vol.
$235 Vol.
19 may 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
No
24°C
$5 Vol.
No
25°C
$5 Vol.
No
26°C
$5 Vol.
No
27°C
$5 Vol.
No
28°C
$5 Vol.
No
29°C
$37 Vol.
No
30°C
$37 Vol.
No
31°C
$37 Vol.
No
32°C
$47 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$47 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign roughly equal 50% implied probabilities to a highest temperature of 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C or higher in Karachi on May 19 because official readings from the Pakistan Meteorological Department typically cluster in this narrow band during late May, when daytime maxima are shaped by Arabian Sea moisture, light sea breezes, and urban heat-island effects around the recording station. Regional forecast models show afternoon peaks sensitive to minor changes in cloud cover and wind speed, any of which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C and push the outcome across resolution thresholds. Historical May averages near 32 °C provide a baseline, yet the market reflects uncertainty over exact local conditions on that date rather than a clear directional signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 19, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Volumen
$235Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 19, 2026, 6:53 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign roughly equal 50% implied probabilities to a highest temperature of 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C or higher in Karachi on May 19 because official readings from the Pakistan Meteorological Department typically cluster in this narrow band during late May, when daytime maxima are shaped by Arabian Sea moisture, light sea breezes, and urban heat-island effects around the recording station. Regional forecast models show afternoon peaks sensitive to minor changes in cloud cover and wind speed, any of which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C and push the outcome across resolution thresholds. Historical May averages near 32 °C provide a baseline, yet the market reflects uncertainty over exact local conditions on that date rather than a clear directional signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$235Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 19, 2026, 6:53 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Traders assign roughly equal 50% implied probabilities to a highest temperature of 31°C, 32°C, or 33°C or higher in Karachi on May 19 because official readings from the Pakistan Meteorological Department typically cluster in this narrow band during late May, when daytime maxima are shaped by Arabian Sea moisture, light sea breezes, and urban heat-island effects around the recording station. Regional forecast models show afternoon peaks sensitive to minor changes in cloud cover and wind speed, any of which can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C and push the outcome across resolution thresholds. Historical May averages near 32 °C provide a baseline, yet the market reflects uncertainty over exact local conditions on that date rather than a clear directional signal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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