Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 22–23°C for London on September 4, driven by a strengthening westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and patchy light rain that will limit daytime heating after the warmer conditions expected on the 3rd. Official forecasts show highs near 23°C with overnight lows around 12–13°C, consistent with early-September climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Traders appear to weight the 22°C outcome most heavily because short-range model runs cluster tightly in this narrow band, though minor shifts in timing of any clearing could push the daily peak to 21°C or 24°C. Updated NWP guidance and Met Office briefings later today represent the next key data points that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 4 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 4 de septiembre?
22°C 41%
23°C 28%
21°C 20%
24°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
20%
22°C
41%
23°C
28%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
22°C 41%
23°C 28%
21°C 20%
24°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
17°C o menos
$231 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$189 Vol.
1%
19°C
$91 Vol.
2%
20°C
$152 Vol.
5%
21°C
$328 Vol.
20%
22°C
$525 Vol.
41%
23°C
$477 Vol.
28%
24°C
$729 Vol.
6%
25°C
$193 Vol.
1%
26°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
27°C o más
$225 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 22–23°C for London on September 4, driven by a strengthening westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and patchy light rain that will limit daytime heating after the warmer conditions expected on the 3rd. Official forecasts show highs near 23°C with overnight lows around 12–13°C, consistent with early-September climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Traders appear to weight the 22°C outcome most heavily because short-range model runs cluster tightly in this narrow band, though minor shifts in timing of any clearing could push the daily peak to 21°C or 24°C. Updated NWP guidance and Met Office briefings later today represent the next key data points that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$3,389Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 22–23°C for London on September 4, driven by a strengthening westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and patchy light rain that will limit daytime heating after the warmer conditions expected on the 3rd. Official forecasts show highs near 23°C with overnight lows around 12–13°C, consistent with early-September climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Traders appear to weight the 22°C outcome most heavily because short-range model runs cluster tightly in this narrow band, though minor shifts in timing of any clearing could push the daily peak to 21°C or 24°C. Updated NWP guidance and Met Office briefings later today represent the next key data points that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,389Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 22–23°C for London on September 4, driven by a strengthening westerly flow, increased cloud cover, and patchy light rain that will limit daytime heating after the warmer conditions expected on the 3rd. Official forecasts show highs near 23°C with overnight lows around 12–13°C, consistent with early-September climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Traders appear to weight the 22°C outcome most heavily because short-range model runs cluster tightly in this narrow band, though minor shifts in timing of any clearing could push the daily peak to 21°C or 24°C. Updated NWP guidance and Met Office briefings later today represent the next key data points that could refine these market-implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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