Market-implied odds assign a 93% probability to 19°C as London's lowest temperature on September 3, driven by official forecasts from the Met Office and numerical models projecting an overnight minimum near 19°C. Mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, and dew points around 16–17°C support this outcome under current synoptic conditions. Historical September averages near 12–13°C highlight the anomalously warm setup, yet model consensus and real-time observations reinforce trader positioning. Clearer skies or localized cooling pockets could push readings to 18°C or below, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent moisture and wind patterns through the night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 3 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 3 de septiembre?
19°C 93%
18°C 7%
17°C 1.5%
15°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
93%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
19°C 93%
18°C 7%
17°C 1.5%
15°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$70 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$171 Vol.
1%
16°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$377 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,650 Vol.
7%
19°C
$1,814 Vol.
93%
20°C
$1,911 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
23°C o más
$50 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds assign a 93% probability to 19°C as London's lowest temperature on September 3, driven by official forecasts from the Met Office and numerical models projecting an overnight minimum near 19°C. Mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, and dew points around 16–17°C support this outcome under current synoptic conditions. Historical September averages near 12–13°C highlight the anomalously warm setup, yet model consensus and real-time observations reinforce trader positioning. Clearer skies or localized cooling pockets could push readings to 18°C or below, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent moisture and wind patterns through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$6,462Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds assign a 93% probability to 19°C as London's lowest temperature on September 3, driven by official forecasts from the Met Office and numerical models projecting an overnight minimum near 19°C. Mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, and dew points around 16–17°C support this outcome under current synoptic conditions. Historical September averages near 12–13°C highlight the anomalously warm setup, yet model consensus and real-time observations reinforce trader positioning. Clearer skies or localized cooling pockets could push readings to 18°C or below, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent moisture and wind patterns through the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,462Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds assign a 93% probability to 19°C as London's lowest temperature on September 3, driven by official forecasts from the Met Office and numerical models projecting an overnight minimum near 19°C. Mild southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover limiting radiational cooling, and dew points around 16–17°C support this outcome under current synoptic conditions. Historical September averages near 12–13°C highlight the anomalously warm setup, yet model consensus and real-time observations reinforce trader positioning. Clearer skies or localized cooling pockets could push readings to 18°C or below, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent moisture and wind patterns through the night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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