Current meteorological forecasts, including GFS model guidance, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for London on September 5 under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies overnight. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.4°C and reflects minimal radiational cooling expected in the urban environment. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for 13°C as the daily low rests on this model agreement and real-time observations showing temperatures holding near 14–15°C into the early morning. A realistic shift could occur if updated runs show enhanced clear-sky cooling or if official Met Office verification records a value outside the narrow 12–14°C band due to localized microclimate variations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 5 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 5 de septiembre?
13°C 99%
12°C <1%
10°C o menos <1%
11°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
13°C 99%
12°C <1%
10°C o menos <1%
11°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
10°C o menos
$180 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$769 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$559 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,217 Vol.
99%
14°C
$2,341 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,135 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,620 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts, including GFS model guidance, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for London on September 5 under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies overnight. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.4°C and reflects minimal radiational cooling expected in the urban environment. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for 13°C as the daily low rests on this model agreement and real-time observations showing temperatures holding near 14–15°C into the early morning. A realistic shift could occur if updated runs show enhanced clear-sky cooling or if official Met Office verification records a value outside the narrow 12–14°C band due to localized microclimate variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$9,090Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts, including GFS model guidance, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for London on September 5 under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies overnight. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.4°C and reflects minimal radiational cooling expected in the urban environment. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for 13°C as the daily low rests on this model agreement and real-time observations showing temperatures holding near 14–15°C into the early morning. A realistic shift could occur if updated runs show enhanced clear-sky cooling or if official Met Office verification records a value outside the narrow 12–14°C band due to localized microclimate variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,090Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts, including GFS model guidance, indicate a minimum temperature of 13°C for London on September 5 under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies overnight. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 12.4°C and reflects minimal radiational cooling expected in the urban environment. Trader consensus at 99% implied probability for 13°C as the daily low rests on this model agreement and real-time observations showing temperatures holding near 14–15°C into the early morning. A realistic shift could occur if updated runs show enhanced clear-sky cooling or if official Met Office verification records a value outside the narrow 12–14°C band due to localized microclimate variations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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