Recent forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show southerly to southwesterly flow advecting milder air into Moscow ahead of a weak frontal system, supporting a daily maximum near 19–21°C on September 21. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in simulated cloud cover and shower timing create the tight clustering around 19–20°C, as breaks in overcast conditions could permit additional solar insolation and push readings higher while earlier or heavier precipitation would suppress the peak. Southerly winds of 4–7 m/s and dew points near 12–14°C favor efficient boundary-layer mixing without strong capping, yet model consensus on modest instability keeps probabilities for 22°C or above low. Updated guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and international centers over the past 24–48 hours has reinforced this range, with resolution hinging on the precise evolution of afternoon convection.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 21 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 21 de septiembre?
20°C 28%
19°C 25%
18°C 18%
21°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
5%
18°C
18%
19°C
25%
20°C
28%
21°C
17%
22°C
7%
23°C o más
4%
20°C 28%
19°C 25%
18°C 18%
21°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$111 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$118 Vol.
3%
16°C
$53 Vol.
7%
17°C
$34 Vol.
5%
18°C
$102 Vol.
18%
19°C
$141 Vol.
25%
20°C
$164 Vol.
28%
21°C
$8 Vol.
17%
22°C
$3 Vol.
7%
23°C o más
$40 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show southerly to southwesterly flow advecting milder air into Moscow ahead of a weak frontal system, supporting a daily maximum near 19–21°C on September 21. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in simulated cloud cover and shower timing create the tight clustering around 19–20°C, as breaks in overcast conditions could permit additional solar insolation and push readings higher while earlier or heavier precipitation would suppress the peak. Southerly winds of 4–7 m/s and dew points near 12–14°C favor efficient boundary-layer mixing without strong capping, yet model consensus on modest instability keeps probabilities for 22°C or above low. Updated guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and international centers over the past 24–48 hours has reinforced this range, with resolution hinging on the precise evolution of afternoon convection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$884Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show southerly to southwesterly flow advecting milder air into Moscow ahead of a weak frontal system, supporting a daily maximum near 19–21°C on September 21. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in simulated cloud cover and shower timing create the tight clustering around 19–20°C, as breaks in overcast conditions could permit additional solar insolation and push readings higher while earlier or heavier precipitation would suppress the peak. Southerly winds of 4–7 m/s and dew points near 12–14°C favor efficient boundary-layer mixing without strong capping, yet model consensus on modest instability keeps probabilities for 22°C or above low. Updated guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and international centers over the past 24–48 hours has reinforced this range, with resolution hinging on the precise evolution of afternoon convection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$884Fecha de finalización
21 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from numerical weather models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, show southerly to southwesterly flow advecting milder air into Moscow ahead of a weak frontal system, supporting a daily maximum near 19–21°C on September 21. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in simulated cloud cover and shower timing create the tight clustering around 19–20°C, as breaks in overcast conditions could permit additional solar insolation and push readings higher while earlier or heavier precipitation would suppress the peak. Southerly winds of 4–7 m/s and dew points near 12–14°C favor efficient boundary-layer mixing without strong capping, yet model consensus on modest instability keeps probabilities for 22°C or above low. Updated guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and international centers over the past 24–48 hours has reinforced this range, with resolution hinging on the precise evolution of afternoon convection.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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