Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 20°C amid clear skies and light southerly winds that enabled radiative warming slightly above the early May climatological average of 17–18°C. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the 19–21°C range under high-pressure influence. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 20°C reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating real-time meteorological evidence. Scenarios challenging this—such as a post-verification data revision or station-specific measurement anomaly—are exceedingly rare, given DWD's rigorous quality controls.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 1?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$100,567 Vol.
$100,567 Vol.
1 may 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$100,567 Vol.
$100,567 Vol.
1 may 2026
13°C or below
$1,625 Vol.
No
14°C
$411 Vol.
No
15°C
$526 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,189 Vol.
No
17°C
$9,078 Vol.
No
18°C
$30,591 Vol.
No
19°C
$11,076 Vol.
No
20°C
$14,176 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$9,526 Vol.
No
22°C
$13,040 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$6,328 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 20°C amid clear skies and light southerly winds that enabled radiative warming slightly above the early May climatological average of 17–18°C. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the 19–21°C range under high-pressure influence. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 20°C reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating real-time meteorological evidence. Scenarios challenging this—such as a post-verification data revision or station-specific measurement anomaly—are exceedingly rare, given DWD's rigorous quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$100,567Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 20°C amid clear skies and light southerly winds that enabled radiative warming slightly above the early May climatological average of 17–18°C. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the 19–21°C range under high-pressure influence. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 20°C reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating real-time meteorological evidence. Scenarios challenging this—such as a post-verification data revision or station-specific measurement anomaly—are exceedingly rare, given DWD's rigorous quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$100,567Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 1 reached exactly 20°C amid clear skies and light southerly winds that enabled radiative warming slightly above the early May climatological average of 17–18°C. This aligns with the latest forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs in the 19–21°C range under high-pressure influence. Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 20°C reflects this verified data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating real-time meteorological evidence. Scenarios challenging this—such as a post-verification data revision or station-specific measurement anomaly—are exceedingly rare, given DWD's rigorous quality controls.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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