Recent model consensus and official local forecasts position 27–29°C as the most probable range for São Paulo’s September 25 high, with 28°C carrying the strongest market-implied odds. Clearing skies after several days of overcast, cooler conditions (highs near 20°C or below) and light winds are expected to allow rapid daytime warming, consistent with GFS guidance showing a peak near 28°C and Brazilian meteorological updates projecting 26–28°C under mostly sunny afternoon skies. Historical September averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current elevated readings. Updated model runs and real-time observations on the day will determine final resolution within the narrow 27–29°C window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 25 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 25 de septiembre?
28°C 38%
29°C 27%
27°C 24%
26°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 sep 2026
22°C o menos
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
24%
28°C
38%
29°C
27%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
28°C 38%
29°C 27%
27°C 24%
26°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 sep 2026
22°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$7 Vol.
2%
24°C
$161 Vol.
2%
25°C
$152 Vol.
4%
26°C
$231 Vol.
7%
27°C
$554 Vol.
24%
28°C
$391 Vol.
38%
29°C
$932 Vol.
27%
30°C
$216 Vol.
4%
31°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official local forecasts position 27–29°C as the most probable range for São Paulo’s September 25 high, with 28°C carrying the strongest market-implied odds. Clearing skies after several days of overcast, cooler conditions (highs near 20°C or below) and light winds are expected to allow rapid daytime warming, consistent with GFS guidance showing a peak near 28°C and Brazilian meteorological updates projecting 26–28°C under mostly sunny afternoon skies. Historical September averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current elevated readings. Updated model runs and real-time observations on the day will determine final resolution within the narrow 27–29°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$2,764Fecha de finalización
25 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official local forecasts position 27–29°C as the most probable range for São Paulo’s September 25 high, with 28°C carrying the strongest market-implied odds. Clearing skies after several days of overcast, cooler conditions (highs near 20°C or below) and light winds are expected to allow rapid daytime warming, consistent with GFS guidance showing a peak near 28°C and Brazilian meteorological updates projecting 26–28°C under mostly sunny afternoon skies. Historical September averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current elevated readings. Updated model runs and real-time observations on the day will determine final resolution within the narrow 27–29°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,764Fecha de finalización
25 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent model consensus and official local forecasts position 27–29°C as the most probable range for São Paulo’s September 25 high, with 28°C carrying the strongest market-implied odds. Clearing skies after several days of overcast, cooler conditions (highs near 20°C or below) and light winds are expected to allow rapid daytime warming, consistent with GFS guidance showing a peak near 28°C and Brazilian meteorological updates projecting 26–28°C under mostly sunny afternoon skies. Historical September averages near 23–25°C provide context for the current elevated readings. Updated model runs and real-time observations on the day will determine final resolution within the narrow 27–29°C window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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