Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system, have pushed recent daily maxima in the Seoul-Incheon area to 34–39°C, with official KMA readings confirming elevated values earlier in the week. Forecasts for August 10 indicate moderation toward 32–34°C as increased cloud cover and possible shower activity reduce insolation, consistent with medium-range model consensus from KMA and international guidance. The close clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or localized convection, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for Incheon shows typical highs near 30°C, underscoring how the current anomalous warmth supports the 33°C and 34°C outcomes as leading scenarios ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 10 de agosto?
33°C 36%
34°C 30%
32°C 21%
35°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
21%
33°C
36%
34°C
30%
35°C
12%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 36%
34°C 30%
32°C 21%
35°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
21%
33°C
36%
34°C
30%
35°C
12%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system, have pushed recent daily maxima in the Seoul-Incheon area to 34–39°C, with official KMA readings confirming elevated values earlier in the week. Forecasts for August 10 indicate moderation toward 32–34°C as increased cloud cover and possible shower activity reduce insolation, consistent with medium-range model consensus from KMA and international guidance. The close clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage or localized convection, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for Incheon shows typical highs near 30°C, underscoring how the current anomalous warmth supports the 33°C and 34°C outcomes as leading scenarios ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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