**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 15–16°C in Warsaw on September 22, 2026, under northwest winds, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain or showers that limit daytime warming.** Persistent westerly flow following cooler conditions on September 21 is advecting maritime air masses, keeping temperatures below the early-September average near 20°C. Recent model runs show limited diurnal recovery due to high humidity and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70%, aligning with trader consensus favoring 15–17°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 92%. Updated short-range guidance expected from national meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine exact maxima before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 22 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 22 de septiembre?
16°C 44%
17°C 36%
19°C 14%
15°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
11°C o menos
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
8%
15°C
13%
16°C
44%
17°C
36%
18°C
9%
19°C
14%
20°C
3%
21°C o más
4%
16°C 44%
17°C 36%
19°C 14%
15°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 sep 2026
11°C o menos
$0 Vol.
3%
12°C
$0 Vol.
3%
13°C
$80 Vol.
3%
14°C
$0 Vol.
8%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$53 Vol.
44%
17°C
$1,287 Vol.
36%
18°C
$0 Vol.
9%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C o más
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 15–16°C in Warsaw on September 22, 2026, under northwest winds, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain or showers that limit daytime warming.** Persistent westerly flow following cooler conditions on September 21 is advecting maritime air masses, keeping temperatures below the early-September average near 20°C. Recent model runs show limited diurnal recovery due to high humidity and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70%, aligning with trader consensus favoring 15–17°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 92%. Updated short-range guidance expected from national meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine exact maxima before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,420Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 15–16°C in Warsaw on September 22, 2026, under northwest winds, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain or showers that limit daytime warming.** Persistent westerly flow following cooler conditions on September 21 is advecting maritime air masses, keeping temperatures below the early-September average near 20°C. Recent model runs show limited diurnal recovery due to high humidity and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70%, aligning with trader consensus favoring 15–17°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 92%. Updated short-range guidance expected from national meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine exact maxima before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,420Fecha de finalización
22 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a high of 15–16°C in Warsaw on September 22, 2026, under northwest winds, widespread cloud cover, and periods of light rain or showers that limit daytime warming.** Persistent westerly flow following cooler conditions on September 21 is advecting maritime air masses, keeping temperatures below the early-September average near 20°C. Recent model runs show limited diurnal recovery due to high humidity and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70%, aligning with trader consensus favoring 15–17°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 92%. Updated short-range guidance expected from national meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine exact maxima before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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