White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's recurring delays to James S. Brady Press Briefing Room appearances, often 20-35 minutes past schedule due to extended presidential consultations or technical difficulties, anchor trader consensus in this tightly contested market. Recent briefings reflect mixed signals: March 10 started 17 minutes late after a 2:00 PM ET announcement; March 25 began near its 1:00 PM slot with no major delay noted; and March 30 proceeded without reported tardiness amid Iran tensions. This variability, amplified by ongoing foreign policy pressures like Middle East troop deployments, sustains bunched probabilities around 20-35 minutes, as the wisdom-of-crowds pricing weighs historical patterns against punctuality improvements. A pre-briefing schedule confirmation or absence of breaking diplomatic developments could favor shorter delays, while last-minute White House huddles might push toward 35+ minutes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado25 - 30 minutes 43%
20 - 25 minutes 42%
30 - 35 minutes 42%
35+ minutes 42%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 abr 2026
<15 minutes
31%
15 - 20 minutes
34%
20 - 25 minutes
42%
25 - 30 minutes
43%
30 - 35 minutes
42%
35+ minutes
42%
25 - 30 minutes 43%
20 - 25 minutes 42%
30 - 35 minutes 42%
35+ minutes 42%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 abr 2026
<15 minutes
$1 Vol.
31%
15 - 20 minutes
$0 Vol.
34%
20 - 25 minutes
$0 Vol.
42%
25 - 30 minutes
$2 Vol.
43%
30 - 35 minutes
$0 Vol.
42%
35+ minutes
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's recurring delays to James S. Brady Press Briefing Room appearances, often 20-35 minutes past schedule due to extended presidential consultations or technical difficulties, anchor trader consensus in this tightly contested market. Recent briefings reflect mixed signals: March 10 started 17 minutes late after a 2:00 PM ET announcement; March 25 began near its 1:00 PM slot with no major delay noted; and March 30 proceeded without reported tardiness amid Iran tensions. This variability, amplified by ongoing foreign policy pressures like Middle East troop deployments, sustains bunched probabilities around 20-35 minutes, as the wisdom-of-crowds pricing weighs historical patterns against punctuality improvements. A pre-briefing schedule confirmation or absence of breaking diplomatic developments could favor shorter delays, while last-minute White House huddles might push toward 35+ minutes.
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Volumen
$4Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's recurring delays to James S. Brady Press Briefing Room appearances, often 20-35 minutes past schedule due to extended presidential consultations or technical difficulties, anchor trader consensus in this tightly contested market. Recent briefings reflect mixed signals: March 10 started 17 minutes late after a 2:00 PM ET announcement; March 25 began near its 1:00 PM slot with no major delay noted; and March 30 proceeded without reported tardiness amid Iran tensions. This variability, amplified by ongoing foreign policy pressures like Middle East troop deployments, sustains bunched probabilities around 20-35 minutes, as the wisdom-of-crowds pricing weighs historical patterns against punctuality improvements. A pre-briefing schedule confirmation or absence of breaking diplomatic developments could favor shorter delays, while last-minute White House huddles might push toward 35+ minutes.
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Volumen
$4Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's recurring delays to James S. Brady Press Briefing Room appearances, often 20-35 minutes past schedule due to extended presidential consultations or technical difficulties, anchor trader consensus in this tightly contested market. Recent briefings reflect mixed signals: March 10 started 17 minutes late after a 2:00 PM ET announcement; March 25 began near its 1:00 PM slot with no major delay noted; and March 30 proceeded without reported tardiness amid Iran tensions. This variability, amplified by ongoing foreign policy pressures like Middle East troop deployments, sustains bunched probabilities around 20-35 minutes, as the wisdom-of-crowds pricing weighs historical patterns against punctuality improvements. A pre-briefing schedule confirmation or absence of breaking diplomatic developments could favor shorter delays, while last-minute White House huddles might push toward 35+ minutes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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