Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies like KNMI and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 16–18°C in Amsterdam on August 27, driven by a moderating maritime air mass after earlier August warmth. Light southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover from thundery showers expected that day limit radiative cooling, keeping minima above seasonal averages near 14–15°C. Trader emphasis on 16°C reflects this guidance, with 17°C and 18°C as close alternatives if showers arrive earlier or winds remain calm; cooler outcomes below 15°C would require clearer skies and northerly flow not currently indicated. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 27 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ámsterdam el 27 de agosto?
16°C 51%
18°C 49%
19°C 47%
17°C 32%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
13°C or below
15%
14°C
16%
15°C
22%
16°C
51%
17°C
32%
18°C
49%
19°C
47%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
10%
16°C 51%
18°C 49%
19°C 47%
17°C 32%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
15%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
51%
17°C
$0 Vol.
32%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
47%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies like KNMI and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 16–18°C in Amsterdam on August 27, driven by a moderating maritime air mass after earlier August warmth. Light southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover from thundery showers expected that day limit radiative cooling, keeping minima above seasonal averages near 14–15°C. Trader emphasis on 16°C reflects this guidance, with 17°C and 18°C as close alternatives if showers arrive earlier or winds remain calm; cooler outcomes below 15°C would require clearer skies and northerly flow not currently indicated. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies like KNMI and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 16–18°C in Amsterdam on August 27, driven by a moderating maritime air mass after earlier August warmth. Light southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover from thundery showers expected that day limit radiative cooling, keeping minima above seasonal averages near 14–15°C. Trader emphasis on 16°C reflects this guidance, with 17°C and 18°C as close alternatives if showers arrive earlier or winds remain calm; cooler outcomes below 15°C would require clearer skies and northerly flow not currently indicated. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies like KNMI and ECMWF points to overnight lows of 16–18°C in Amsterdam on August 27, driven by a moderating maritime air mass after earlier August warmth. Light southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover from thundery showers expected that day limit radiative cooling, keeping minima above seasonal averages near 14–15°C. Trader emphasis on 16°C reflects this guidance, with 17°C and 18°C as close alternatives if showers arrive earlier or winds remain calm; cooler outcomes below 15°C would require clearer skies and northerly flow not currently indicated. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes