Recent model consensus from major agencies points to a minimum temperature of 8–11°C in Buenos Aires on August 26 under stable high pressure near 1024 hPa and light northeasterly winds following the late-August cold outbreak. Small variations in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across these outcomes, as reduced radiative cooling under clearer skies favors the lower end while modest warming aloft supports 10–11°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 8–10°C, and traders are balancing recent surface observations near 6–7°C against expected gradual moderation. Updated model runs and real-time observations in the next 12–24 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 26 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 26 de agosto?
14°C o más 49%
10°C 29%
8°C 27%
9°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
4°C o menos
13%
5°C
8%
6°C
25%
7°C
25%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
29%
11°C
26%
12°C
24%
13°C
14%
14°C o más
49%
14°C o más 49%
10°C 29%
8°C 27%
9°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
4°C o menos
$5 Vol.
13%
5°C
$5 Vol.
8%
6°C
$0 Vol.
25%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
29%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$5 Vol.
14%
14°C o más
$5 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major agencies points to a minimum temperature of 8–11°C in Buenos Aires on August 26 under stable high pressure near 1024 hPa and light northeasterly winds following the late-August cold outbreak. Small variations in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across these outcomes, as reduced radiative cooling under clearer skies favors the lower end while modest warming aloft supports 10–11°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 8–10°C, and traders are balancing recent surface observations near 6–7°C against expected gradual moderation. Updated model runs and real-time observations in the next 12–24 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major agencies points to a minimum temperature of 8–11°C in Buenos Aires on August 26 under stable high pressure near 1024 hPa and light northeasterly winds following the late-August cold outbreak. Small variations in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across these outcomes, as reduced radiative cooling under clearer skies favors the lower end while modest warming aloft supports 10–11°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 8–10°C, and traders are balancing recent surface observations near 6–7°C against expected gradual moderation. Updated model runs and real-time observations in the next 12–24 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major agencies points to a minimum temperature of 8–11°C in Buenos Aires on August 26 under stable high pressure near 1024 hPa and light northeasterly winds following the late-August cold outbreak. Small variations in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across these outcomes, as reduced radiative cooling under clearer skies favors the lower end while modest warming aloft supports 10–11°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 8–10°C, and traders are balancing recent surface observations near 6–7°C against expected gradual moderation. Updated model runs and real-time observations in the next 12–24 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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