Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate variable overnight radiative cooling in Istanbul, with partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds moderating temperatures near the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, keeping the daily low most likely between 14–18°C. Historical September normals show average lows near 18°C that decline through the month, but urban heat island effects and potential scattered showers on September 16 introduce divergence in model outputs, as increased cloud cover or humidity can suppress cooling by 2–4°C compared to clear, calm conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for 14°C and 18°C captures this genuine uncertainty ahead of final observational data from official stations, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 16 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 16 de septiembre?
18°C 99.5%
17°C 15%
14°C 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
$707 Vol.
$707 Vol.
16 sep 2026
13°C o menos
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sí
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C o más
No
18°C 99.5%
17°C 15%
14°C 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
$707 Vol.
$707 Vol.
16 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$133 Vol.
No
14°C
$0 Vol.
No
15°C
$0 Vol.
No
16°C
$20 Vol.
No
17°C
$77 Vol.
No
18°C
$239 Vol.
Sí
19°C
$104 Vol.
No
20°C
$69 Vol.
No
21°C
$22 Vol.
No
22°C
$21 Vol.
No
23°C o más
$22 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate variable overnight radiative cooling in Istanbul, with partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds moderating temperatures near the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, keeping the daily low most likely between 14–18°C. Historical September normals show average lows near 18°C that decline through the month, but urban heat island effects and potential scattered showers on September 16 introduce divergence in model outputs, as increased cloud cover or humidity can suppress cooling by 2–4°C compared to clear, calm conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for 14°C and 18°C captures this genuine uncertainty ahead of final observational data from official stations, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$707Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate variable overnight radiative cooling in Istanbul, with partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds moderating temperatures near the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, keeping the daily low most likely between 14–18°C. Historical September normals show average lows near 18°C that decline through the month, but urban heat island effects and potential scattered showers on September 16 introduce divergence in model outputs, as increased cloud cover or humidity can suppress cooling by 2–4°C compared to clear, calm conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for 14°C and 18°C captures this genuine uncertainty ahead of final observational data from official stations, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$707Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate variable overnight radiative cooling in Istanbul, with partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds moderating temperatures near the Sea of Marmara and Black Sea, keeping the daily low most likely between 14–18°C. Historical September normals show average lows near 18°C that decline through the month, but urban heat island effects and potential scattered showers on September 16 introduce divergence in model outputs, as increased cloud cover or humidity can suppress cooling by 2–4°C compared to clear, calm conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched implied probabilities for 14°C and 18°C captures this genuine uncertainty ahead of final observational data from official stations, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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