Latest Met Office and ensemble guidance points to a minimum temperature of 11–12 °C in London on September 18, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds within a mild maritime air mass. Model consensus shows early-morning readings bottoming near 11 °C before daytime warming to around 21 °C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology and the absence of strong high pressure or cold advection. Traders have priced 12 °C at 57 % and 11 °C at 25.5 % implied probability because recent model runs have remained stable, with only minor spread in boundary-layer forecasts. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 18 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 18 de septiembre?
12°C 56%
11°C 26%
13°C 16%
8°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
6°C o menos
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
26%
12°C
56%
13°C
16%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C o más
2%
12°C 56%
11°C 26%
13°C 16%
8°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
6°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
7°C
$0 Vol.
2%
8°C
$0 Vol.
3%
9°C
$0 Vol.
3%
10°C
$29 Vol.
3%
11°C
$1,322 Vol.
26%
12°C
$1,646 Vol.
56%
13°C
$390 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
3%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ensemble guidance points to a minimum temperature of 11–12 °C in London on September 18, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds within a mild maritime air mass. Model consensus shows early-morning readings bottoming near 11 °C before daytime warming to around 21 °C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology and the absence of strong high pressure or cold advection. Traders have priced 12 °C at 57 % and 11 °C at 25.5 % implied probability because recent model runs have remained stable, with only minor spread in boundary-layer forecasts. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$3,386Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ensemble guidance points to a minimum temperature of 11–12 °C in London on September 18, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds within a mild maritime air mass. Model consensus shows early-morning readings bottoming near 11 °C before daytime warming to around 21 °C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology and the absence of strong high pressure or cold advection. Traders have priced 12 °C at 57 % and 11 °C at 25.5 % implied probability because recent model runs have remained stable, with only minor spread in boundary-layer forecasts. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,386Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and ensemble guidance points to a minimum temperature of 11–12 °C in London on September 18, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds within a mild maritime air mass. Model consensus shows early-morning readings bottoming near 11 °C before daytime warming to around 21 °C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology and the absence of strong high pressure or cold advection. Traders have priced 12 °C at 57 % and 11 °C at 25.5 % implied probability because recent model runs have remained stable, with only minor spread in boundary-layer forecasts. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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