**Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and global ensembles show a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 20, favoring overnight radiative cooling.** Consensus minimum temperatures cluster near 17–18 °C, above the 1991–2020 average low of 14.8 °C, yet ensemble spreads include cooler members that align with the 49 % market-implied probability for 14 °C or below. Recent September variability, including a 13.2 °C reading earlier in the month, keeps traders attentive to any late-model cooling or measurement-site differences. Official station data released after the 24-hour period will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 20 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 20 de septiembre?
16°C 40%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
15°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
14°C o menos
49%
15°C
22%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
16°C 40%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
15°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 sep 2026
14°C o menos
$28 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
40%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
24°C o más
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and global ensembles show a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 20, favoring overnight radiative cooling.** Consensus minimum temperatures cluster near 17–18 °C, above the 1991–2020 average low of 14.8 °C, yet ensemble spreads include cooler members that align with the 49 % market-implied probability for 14 °C or below. Recent September variability, including a 13.2 °C reading earlier in the month, keeps traders attentive to any late-model cooling or measurement-site differences. Official station data released after the 24-hour period will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$76Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and global ensembles show a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 20, favoring overnight radiative cooling.** Consensus minimum temperatures cluster near 17–18 °C, above the 1991–2020 average low of 14.8 °C, yet ensemble spreads include cooler members that align with the 49 % market-implied probability for 14 °C or below. Recent September variability, including a 13.2 °C reading earlier in the month, keeps traders attentive to any late-model cooling or measurement-site differences. Official station data released after the 24-hour period will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$76Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and global ensembles show a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds over Madrid on September 20, favoring overnight radiative cooling.** Consensus minimum temperatures cluster near 17–18 °C, above the 1991–2020 average low of 14.8 °C, yet ensemble spreads include cooler members that align with the 49 % market-implied probability for 14 °C or below. Recent September variability, including a 13.2 °C reading earlier in the month, keeps traders attentive to any late-model cooling or measurement-site differences. Official station data released after the 24-hour period will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes