Persistent heat and elevated dew points across South Florida are the main drivers behind current Polymarket positioning for Miami’s August 1 minimum temperature. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows of 77–83 °F amid ongoing heat advisories, with limited nocturnal cooling expected under partly cloudy skies and high humidity typical of early August. Historical climatology shows an average August minimum near 78 °F at Miami International Airport, so the market’s heavy weighting toward 86 °F or higher (47.5 %) alongside the 78–79 °F bin (37.5 %) reflects trader assessment of whether urban heat-island effects and model consensus will push the reading above or near the upper end of the normal range. Updated National Weather Service guidance and any late-day convective activity remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 1 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 1 de agosto?
80-81°F 36%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 13%
82-83°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 ago 2026
67°F o menos
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
3%
86°F o más
8%
80-81°F 36%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 13%
82-83°F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 ago 2026
67°F o menos
$41 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$25 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$25 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$125 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$94 Vol.
13%
76-77°F
$21 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$10 Vol.
35%
80-81°F
$31 Vol.
36%
82-83°F
$31 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$62 Vol.
3%
86°F o más
$141 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat and elevated dew points across South Florida are the main drivers behind current Polymarket positioning for Miami’s August 1 minimum temperature. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows of 77–83 °F amid ongoing heat advisories, with limited nocturnal cooling expected under partly cloudy skies and high humidity typical of early August. Historical climatology shows an average August minimum near 78 °F at Miami International Airport, so the market’s heavy weighting toward 86 °F or higher (47.5 %) alongside the 78–79 °F bin (37.5 %) reflects trader assessment of whether urban heat-island effects and model consensus will push the reading above or near the upper end of the normal range. Updated National Weather Service guidance and any late-day convective activity remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$607Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heat and elevated dew points across South Florida are the main drivers behind current Polymarket positioning for Miami’s August 1 minimum temperature. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows of 77–83 °F amid ongoing heat advisories, with limited nocturnal cooling expected under partly cloudy skies and high humidity typical of early August. Historical climatology shows an average August minimum near 78 °F at Miami International Airport, so the market’s heavy weighting toward 86 °F or higher (47.5 %) alongside the 78–79 °F bin (37.5 %) reflects trader assessment of whether urban heat-island effects and model consensus will push the reading above or near the upper end of the normal range. Updated National Weather Service guidance and any late-day convective activity remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$607Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heat and elevated dew points across South Florida are the main drivers behind current Polymarket positioning for Miami’s August 1 minimum temperature. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project overnight lows of 77–83 °F amid ongoing heat advisories, with limited nocturnal cooling expected under partly cloudy skies and high humidity typical of early August. Historical climatology shows an average August minimum near 78 °F at Miami International Airport, so the market’s heavy weighting toward 86 °F or higher (47.5 %) alongside the 78–79 °F bin (37.5 %) reflects trader assessment of whether urban heat-island effects and model consensus will push the reading above or near the upper end of the normal range. Updated National Weather Service guidance and any late-day convective activity remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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