Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting numerical models indicate an overnight minimum near 25–26 °C for Incheon on August 27, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and the chance of light rain or drizzle further suppress temperature drops, favoring the slightly higher end of the range. Ensemble spread in guidance reflects typical short-term uncertainty in boundary-layer processes under these stable, moist conditions, with any clearing or stronger onshore flow potentially allowing a 25 °C reading. Updated model runs and the next KMA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts between these closely matched probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 27 de agosto?
26°C 50%
25°C 44%
24°C 6%
27°C 3%
20°C o menos
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
44%
26°C
50%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
26°C 50%
25°C 44%
24°C 6%
27°C 3%
20°C o menos
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
44%
26°C
50%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting numerical models indicate an overnight minimum near 25–26 °C for Incheon on August 27, keeping the two leading market outcomes nearly tied. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and the chance of light rain or drizzle further suppress temperature drops, favoring the slightly higher end of the range. Ensemble spread in guidance reflects typical short-term uncertainty in boundary-layer processes under these stable, moist conditions, with any clearing or stronger onshore flow potentially allowing a 25 °C reading. Updated model runs and the next KMA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts between these closely matched probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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