Trader consensus on a 24°C minimum in Tel Aviv on September 16 reflects official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models showing overnight lows near 24–25°C under clear skies and light northerly winds. High daytime heating to 31–32°C combined with moderate humidity and coastal sea-breeze effects has limited radiative cooling, keeping the nocturnal drop modest compared with drier inland sites. The near-even odds for 20°C or below capture residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, though current observations and ensemble guidance favor the higher outcome as the night progresses without incoming fronts or increased cloud cover. Upcoming final hourly readings will resolve the market once the daily minimum is confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tel Aviv el 16 de septiembre?
20°C o menos 92%
21°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
25°C <1%
$769 Vol.
$769 Vol.
20°C o menos
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Sí
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o más
No
20°C o menos 92%
21°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
25°C <1%
$769 Vol.
$769 Vol.
20°C o menos
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Sí
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on a 24°C minimum in Tel Aviv on September 16 reflects official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models showing overnight lows near 24–25°C under clear skies and light northerly winds. High daytime heating to 31–32°C combined with moderate humidity and coastal sea-breeze effects has limited radiative cooling, keeping the nocturnal drop modest compared with drier inland sites. The near-even odds for 20°C or below capture residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression, though current observations and ensemble guidance favor the higher outcome as the night progresses without incoming fronts or increased cloud cover. Upcoming final hourly readings will resolve the market once the daily minimum is confirmed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes