Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high-pressure system dominating central China, promoting clear skies and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling over Wuhan, which underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C for the September 9 low. Differentiating factors include variable wind speeds from the northeast that could limit or amplify boundary-layer mixing, modest humidity levels reducing the heat capacity of the air mass, and the precise timing of any frontal approach from the north. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 20–22°C during similar high-pressure setups, with small shifts in cloud cover or model consensus on minimum temperatures likely to resolve the narrow probability spread ahead of official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Wuhan el 9 de septiembre?
22°C 35%
21°C 27%
20°C 26%
23°C 26%
18°C o menos
8%
19°C
6%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
35%
23°C
26%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
7%
27°C
8%
28°C o más
1%
22°C 35%
21°C 27%
20°C 26%
23°C 26%
18°C o menos
8%
19°C
6%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
35%
23°C
26%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
7%
27°C
8%
28°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a high-pressure system dominating central China, promoting clear skies and enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling over Wuhan, which underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C for the September 9 low. Differentiating factors include variable wind speeds from the northeast that could limit or amplify boundary-layer mixing, modest humidity levels reducing the heat capacity of the air mass, and the precise timing of any frontal approach from the north. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 20–22°C during similar high-pressure setups, with small shifts in cloud cover or model consensus on minimum temperatures likely to resolve the narrow probability spread ahead of official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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