Massachusetts has maintained strong Democratic control of its U.S. Senate seats for decades, with the last Republican victory occurring in the 2010 special election. Incumbent Ed Markey leads the Democratic primary against Seth Moulton in recent polls from April and May 2026, while any Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. Trader consensus reflects these consistent state-level fundamentals and the absence of major shifts in the past month. Late developments such as a primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national political realignment could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
$13,152 Vol.
$13,152 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
96%
Republicano
4%
$13,152 Vol.
$13,152 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$8,548 Vol.
96%
Republicano
$4,603 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts has maintained strong Democratic control of its U.S. Senate seats for decades, with the last Republican victory occurring in the 2010 special election. Incumbent Ed Markey leads the Democratic primary against Seth Moulton in recent polls from April and May 2026, while any Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. Trader consensus reflects these consistent state-level fundamentals and the absence of major shifts in the past month. Late developments such as a primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national political realignment could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$13,152Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts has maintained strong Democratic control of its U.S. Senate seats for decades, with the last Republican victory occurring in the 2010 special election. Incumbent Ed Markey leads the Democratic primary against Seth Moulton in recent polls from April and May 2026, while any Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. Trader consensus reflects these consistent state-level fundamentals and the absence of major shifts in the past month. Late developments such as a primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national political realignment could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$13,152Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts has maintained strong Democratic control of its U.S. Senate seats for decades, with the last Republican victory occurring in the 2010 special election. Incumbent Ed Markey leads the Democratic primary against Seth Moulton in recent polls from April and May 2026, while any Republican nominee faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and turnout patterns. Trader consensus reflects these consistent state-level fundamentals and the absence of major shifts in the past month. Late developments such as a primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national political realignment could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes