Massachusetts voters have favored Democrats in Senate contests for decades, with the party capturing every general election since 2012 and no Republican winning statewide since 2010. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third term against primary challenger Seth Moulton, while limited Republican primary options such as John Deaton face the state's consistent partisan tilt. Recent April-May 2026 surveys show Markey maintaining double-digit leads in the Democratic primary ahead of the September 1 vote, reinforcing expectations that the nominee will prevail in November. Trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democrat reflects this structural advantage and historical precedent, though a national Republican surge or unexpected primary outcome could introduce modest uncertainty before the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Massachusetts
$13,152 Vol.
$13,152 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
96%
Republicano
5%
$13,152 Vol.
$13,152 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$8,548 Vol.
96%
Republicano
$4,603 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have favored Democrats in Senate contests for decades, with the party capturing every general election since 2012 and no Republican winning statewide since 2010. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third term against primary challenger Seth Moulton, while limited Republican primary options such as John Deaton face the state's consistent partisan tilt. Recent April-May 2026 surveys show Markey maintaining double-digit leads in the Democratic primary ahead of the September 1 vote, reinforcing expectations that the nominee will prevail in November. Trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democrat reflects this structural advantage and historical precedent, though a national Republican surge or unexpected primary outcome could introduce modest uncertainty before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$13,152Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have favored Democrats in Senate contests for decades, with the party capturing every general election since 2012 and no Republican winning statewide since 2010. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third term against primary challenger Seth Moulton, while limited Republican primary options such as John Deaton face the state's consistent partisan tilt. Recent April-May 2026 surveys show Markey maintaining double-digit leads in the Democratic primary ahead of the September 1 vote, reinforcing expectations that the nominee will prevail in November. Trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democrat reflects this structural advantage and historical precedent, though a national Republican surge or unexpected primary outcome could introduce modest uncertainty before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$13,152Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have favored Democrats in Senate contests for decades, with the party capturing every general election since 2012 and no Republican winning statewide since 2010. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third term against primary challenger Seth Moulton, while limited Republican primary options such as John Deaton face the state's consistent partisan tilt. Recent April-May 2026 surveys show Markey maintaining double-digit leads in the Democratic primary ahead of the September 1 vote, reinforcing expectations that the nominee will prevail in November. Trader consensus at 95.5% for a Democrat reflects this structural advantage and historical precedent, though a national Republican surge or unexpected primary outcome could introduce modest uncertainty before the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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