Recent national polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena maintaining a clear lead in vote intention, positioning the party and its allies to secure the most seats. Among opposition forces, PAN consistently records the highest individual support, typically 11–18 percent, ahead of PRI and MC, reflecting stronger national organization, state-level infrastructure, and voter recognition. The national PAN-PRI alliance ended in 2025, leaving parties to compete separately and fragmenting the anti-Morena vote. Local alliance talks and scattered PRI gains in state surveys have not altered PAN’s edge in aggregate projections. Traders therefore assign PAN the highest implied probability of finishing second in total seats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 79%
PRI 15.2%
PVEM 5%
MC 3.7%
$82,552 Vol.
$82,552 Vol.
5 jun 2027
PAN
79%
PRI
15%
PT
<1%
PVEM
5%
MC
4%
Morena
1%
PAN 79%
PRI 15.2%
PVEM 5%
MC 3.7%
$82,552 Vol.
$82,552 Vol.
5 jun 2027
PAN
$37,938 Vol.
79%
PRI
$14,317 Vol.
15%
PT
$7,974 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$12,628 Vol.
5%
MC
$4,520 Vol.
4%
Morena
$5,174 Vol.
1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Recent national polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena maintaining a clear lead in vote intention, positioning the party and its allies to secure the most seats. Among opposition forces, PAN consistently records the highest individual support, typically 11–18 percent, ahead of PRI and MC, reflecting stronger national organization, state-level infrastructure, and voter recognition. The national PAN-PRI alliance ended in 2025, leaving parties to compete separately and fragmenting the anti-Morena vote. Local alliance talks and scattered PRI gains in state surveys have not altered PAN’s edge in aggregate projections. Traders therefore assign PAN the highest implied probability of finishing second in total seats.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volumen
$82,552Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2027Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Recent national polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena maintaining a clear lead in vote intention, positioning the party and its allies to secure the most seats. Among opposition forces, PAN consistently records the highest individual support, typically 11–18 percent, ahead of PRI and MC, reflecting stronger national organization, state-level infrastructure, and voter recognition. The national PAN-PRI alliance ended in 2025, leaving parties to compete separately and fragmenting the anti-Morena vote. Local alliance talks and scattered PRI gains in state surveys have not altered PAN’s edge in aggregate projections. Traders therefore assign PAN the highest implied probability of finishing second in total seats.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volumen
$82,552Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2027Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polling for Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election shows Morena maintaining a clear lead in vote intention, positioning the party and its allies to secure the most seats. Among opposition forces, PAN consistently records the highest individual support, typically 11–18 percent, ahead of PRI and MC, reflecting stronger national organization, state-level infrastructure, and voter recognition. The national PAN-PRI alliance ended in 2025, leaving parties to compete separately and fragmenting the anti-Morena vote. Local alliance talks and scattered PRI gains in state surveys have not altered PAN’s edge in aggregate projections. Traders therefore assign PAN the highest implied probability of finishing second in total seats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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