Traders place Morena at the top with a 70.5% implied probability because recent national surveys show the ruling party maintaining a wide lead in voter preference for the Chamber of Deputies, backed by strong approval of current social programs and economic policies under President Claudia Sheinbaum. Opposition parties trail due to persistent fragmentation: PRI and PAN register lower support amid internal divisions and limited district-level organization, while PT and PVEM gain modest traction through their alliance with Morena. MC and PAN sit lower still as polling aggregates reflect weaker performance in battleground regions ahead of the next federal vote. These dynamics have held steady over the past month with no major shifts from legislative debates or primary outcomes altering the consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMorena 72%
PRI 23%
MC 23%
PVEM 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jun 2027
PAN
17%
PRI
23%
PT
19%
PVEM
21%
MC
23%
Morena
72%
Morena 72%
PRI 23%
MC 23%
PVEM 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 jun 2027
PAN
$29 Vol.
17%
PRI
$29 Vol.
23%
PT
$29 Vol.
19%
PVEM
$29 Vol.
21%
MC
$29 Vol.
23%
Morena
$40 Vol.
72%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Traders place Morena at the top with a 70.5% implied probability because recent national surveys show the ruling party maintaining a wide lead in voter preference for the Chamber of Deputies, backed by strong approval of current social programs and economic policies under President Claudia Sheinbaum. Opposition parties trail due to persistent fragmentation: PRI and PAN register lower support amid internal divisions and limited district-level organization, while PT and PVEM gain modest traction through their alliance with Morena. MC and PAN sit lower still as polling aggregates reflect weaker performance in battleground regions ahead of the next federal vote. These dynamics have held steady over the past month with no major shifts from legislative debates or primary outcomes altering the consensus.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volumen
$187Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2027Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Traders place Morena at the top with a 70.5% implied probability because recent national surveys show the ruling party maintaining a wide lead in voter preference for the Chamber of Deputies, backed by strong approval of current social programs and economic policies under President Claudia Sheinbaum. Opposition parties trail due to persistent fragmentation: PRI and PAN register lower support amid internal divisions and limited district-level organization, while PT and PVEM gain modest traction through their alliance with Morena. MC and PAN sit lower still as polling aggregates reflect weaker performance in battleground regions ahead of the next federal vote. These dynamics have held steady over the past month with no major shifts from legislative debates or primary outcomes altering the consensus.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volumen
$187Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2027Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders place Morena at the top with a 70.5% implied probability because recent national surveys show the ruling party maintaining a wide lead in voter preference for the Chamber of Deputies, backed by strong approval of current social programs and economic policies under President Claudia Sheinbaum. Opposition parties trail due to persistent fragmentation: PRI and PAN register lower support amid internal divisions and limited district-level organization, while PT and PVEM gain modest traction through their alliance with Morena. MC and PAN sit lower still as polling aggregates reflect weaker performance in battleground regions ahead of the next federal vote. These dynamics have held steady over the past month with no major shifts from legislative debates or primary outcomes altering the consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes