Michigan's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the sitting secretary of state who won her party's primary by a wide margin on August 4, against Republican nominee John James, a U.S. representative who secured his nomination in the same primary cycle. Recent polling shows Benson holding a narrow lead, consistent with Michigan's pattern of Democratic success in statewide contests since 2018 and advantages in key voter turnout and fundraising metrics. The May withdrawal of independent candidate Mike Duggan further clarified the two-party matchup. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 87.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's structural edge in this battleground state and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions that could shift the race toward the Republican challenger.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Michigan
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Michigan
Demócrata 88%
Republicano 14%
Independiente <1%
$198,922 Vol.
$198,922 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Demócrata
88%
Republicano
14%
Independiente
<1%
Demócrata 88%
Republicano 14%
Independiente <1%
$198,922 Vol.
$198,922 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Demócrata
$47,537 Vol.
88%
Republicano
$150,632 Vol.
14%
Independiente
$753 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the sitting secretary of state who won her party's primary by a wide margin on August 4, against Republican nominee John James, a U.S. representative who secured his nomination in the same primary cycle. Recent polling shows Benson holding a narrow lead, consistent with Michigan's pattern of Democratic success in statewide contests since 2018 and advantages in key voter turnout and fundraising metrics. The May withdrawal of independent candidate Mike Duggan further clarified the two-party matchup. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 87.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's structural edge in this battleground state and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions that could shift the race toward the Republican challenger.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$198,922Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the sitting secretary of state who won her party's primary by a wide margin on August 4, against Republican nominee John James, a U.S. representative who secured his nomination in the same primary cycle. Recent polling shows Benson holding a narrow lead, consistent with Michigan's pattern of Democratic success in statewide contests since 2018 and advantages in key voter turnout and fundraising metrics. The May withdrawal of independent candidate Mike Duggan further clarified the two-party matchup. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 87.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's structural edge in this battleground state and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions that could shift the race toward the Republican challenger.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$198,922Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson, the sitting secretary of state who won her party's primary by a wide margin on August 4, against Republican nominee John James, a U.S. representative who secured his nomination in the same primary cycle. Recent polling shows Benson holding a narrow lead, consistent with Michigan's pattern of Democratic success in statewide contests since 2018 and advantages in key voter turnout and fundraising metrics. The May withdrawal of independent candidate Mike Duggan further clarified the two-party matchup. Traders assign the Democratic outcome an 87.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's structural edge in this battleground state and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions that could shift the race toward the Republican challenger.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes