Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for 2.2 million to 2.4 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 7, driven by the agency's latest daily throughput data showing consistent weekday volumes around 2.3 million—following April 6's weekend peak of 2,706,000 and April 5's 2,562,000 amid post-spring break normalization. This positioning reflects sustained U.S. air travel demand, with year-over-year declines of about 8% but stable labor market conditions supporting consumer spending on leisure trips, absent major disruptions like March's government shutdown staffing shortages. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions or underreported volumes from peak-hour surges, though resolution is imminent with TSA's standard morning update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado2.2M-2.4M 100.0%
<2.2M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
2.6M-2.8M <1%
$2,501 Vol.
$2,501 Vol.
7 abr 2026
<2.2M
No
2.2M-2.4M
Yes
2.4M-2.6M
No
2.6M-2.8M
No
2.8M-3.0M
No
>3.0M
No
2.2M-2.4M 100.0%
<2.2M <1%
2.4M-2.6M <1%
2.6M-2.8M <1%
$2,501 Vol.
$2,501 Vol.
7 abr 2026
<2.2M
$322 Vol.
No
2.2M-2.4M
$227 Vol.
Yes
2.4M-2.6M
$451 Vol.
No
2.6M-2.8M
$287 Vol.
No
2.8M-3.0M
$386 Vol.
No
>3.0M
$828 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 7, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for 2.2 million to 2.4 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 7, driven by the agency's latest daily throughput data showing consistent weekday volumes around 2.3 million—following April 6's weekend peak of 2,706,000 and April 5's 2,562,000 amid post-spring break normalization. This positioning reflects sustained U.S. air travel demand, with year-over-year declines of about 8% but stable labor market conditions supporting consumer spending on leisure trips, absent major disruptions like March's government shutdown staffing shortages. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions or underreported volumes from peak-hour surges, though resolution is imminent with TSA's standard morning update.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 7, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Volumen
$2,501Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 7, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for 2.2 million to 2.4 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 7, driven by the agency's latest daily throughput data showing consistent weekday volumes around 2.3 million—following April 6's weekend peak of 2,706,000 and April 5's 2,562,000 amid post-spring break normalization. This positioning reflects sustained U.S. air travel demand, with year-over-year declines of about 8% but stable labor market conditions supporting consumer spending on leisure trips, absent major disruptions like March's government shutdown staffing shortages. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions or underreported volumes from peak-hour surges, though resolution is imminent with TSA's standard morning update.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 7, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$2,501Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for 2.2 million to 2.4 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 7, driven by the agency's latest daily throughput data showing consistent weekday volumes around 2.3 million—following April 6's weekend peak of 2,706,000 and April 5's 2,562,000 amid post-spring break normalization. This positioning reflects sustained U.S. air travel demand, with year-over-year declines of about 8% but stable labor market conditions supporting consumer spending on leisure trips, absent major disruptions like March's government shutdown staffing shortages. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions or underreported volumes from peak-hour surges, though resolution is imminent with TSA's standard morning update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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